Title: International Tour Operator Management Part II
1International Tour Operator ManagementPart II
2Market Research and customer behaviour
3Forecasting models in tourism
- Forecasting is very necessary in tourism
- Rational decision cannot be taken with forecast
about trends - Risk of management mistakes is high in tourism
because - Tourism services cannot be stored
- Service consumption is part of production,
happening at same time - Customer satisfaction depends to a large part on
external factors - For many areas high investment costs
(infrastructure, hotels) - Different criteria for measuring tourism
- Number of visitors/guests, number of tourists
(UNWTO) - Number of visitor groups
- Number of overnight stays
- Level of expenditure per person per day
- Value added share of tourism (WTTC)
- Market share
4Forecasting methods in tourism
- Difficulties
- New industry, lack of long-term timelines and
historic data - Standardisation of tourism statistics just
beginning internationally (Satellite accounts),
not existing for domestic tourism - Demand volatile, easily influenced by external
factors and events - Under-academication of tourism industry, Rule of
thumb - Lack of methodical knowledge in tourism industry
- Forms of forecasting
- Qualitative und quantitative Forecasting methods
- Short / long term methods
- Examples Survey, Scenarios, Delphi
5Market research and analysis
- Market research
- Systematic process of acquiring, processing and
analysing quantitative and qualitative data to
assist the decision making process. - Different forms of market research
- Facts, Images, perceptions, motivations
- Analysis of situation at given moment or ongoing
market scan to understand developments and trends
of market - Major tasks of market research
- Definition of (sub-)markets
- Analysis of (sub-)markets
- Demand research
- Competition research
6Market research forms
- Primary research Field research
- Own research (company or Institute)
- Surveys
- Observation
- Experiment
- Reporting
-
- Secundary research Desk research
- Internal sources
- External sources
7German tourism market research institutes I
- B.A.T. Freizeit-Forschungsinstitut GmbH, Hamburg
- Consultant Aviation Tourism, Stelle
- Creatours Destination, Freizeit, Tourismus,
Dresden - Dallmeier Partner, Korschenbroich
- Deutscher Reisemonitor DRM, c/o IPK
International GmbH, München - Deutsches Touristik-Institut eV, DTI,
Stockdorf/München - dwif Consulting GmbH, Berlin/München
- dwif Deutsches Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche
Institut für Fremdenverkehr eV an der Universität
München, München - Europäisches Tourismus Institut ETI, Trier
- Europäischer Reisemonitor c/o European Travel
Intelligence Center, Luxemburg - FT Freizeit und Touristik GmbH, Grafschaft
8German tourism market research institutes II
- FUR Forschungsgemeinschaft Urlaub und Reisen eV,
Kiel - Inspektour GmbH, Heide
- Ipsos GmbH, Mölln
- ITF Research GmbH, Bremerhaven
- Mobility Touristcope, (DB, LH, T.O.,
Autoindustrie), Frankfurt - Project M Marketing Research GmbH, Lüneburg
- Reppel Partner GmbH, Karslruhe-Durlach
- Studiengemeinschaft für Tourismus SfT,
Ammerland/Bayern - TourismusKompetenz, München
- Ulysses Web-Tourismus, München
- World-Travel Monitor Ltd. Malta, c/o IPK
International GmbH, München
9Tourism Fairs in Germany and abroad
Fair Visitors Visitors Exhibitors Exhibitors
Fair 2004 2005 2004 2005
ITB Berlin 141.139 142.351 10.023 10.409
CBR München 139.000 130.000 1.143 1.237
CMT Stuttgart 190.476 176.930 1.400 1.400
Messe Essen 110.600 103.200 858 751
Reisen Hamburg 103.000 100.000 1.060 1.086
FreizeitGarten Nürnberg 178.746 143.249 702 624
WTM London 2006 46.945 2006 5.602
CITM Shanghai 2006 3.100
10Examples of Market research methods
- Surveys oral, written, by telephone, online
- Structured/unstructured, standardised
- Open/half open/closed surveys
- Experiment
- Test markets
- Observation
- Customer behaviour
- Frequencies, Spatial movement analysis, test
purchases - Trend analysis
- Extrapolation of past developments into the
future dangerous (Predictions are dangerous,
especially if they concern the future Nils
Bohrs) especially for fast developing activity
like tourism - Example Predictions of situation 2007 made in
1987 (cold war), or 1997 (no internet, no budget
airlines)
11Customer behaviour
- Influences
- Cultural
- Cultural background
- Subculture
- Social background
- Social
- Peer groups
- Family
- Role and Status
- Perception of tourism
- Personal
- Age, current biographical situation
- Job
- Economic situation
- Lifestyle
- Self-perception
- Motivation
- Values
- Travel Biography
- Increasing segmentation
- number of milieus increasing
- disappearance of clear social roles in
post-modern society
12Market segmentation
- http//www.sinus-sociovision.de/
13Analysis of customer behaviour
- Seven questions, seven answers
Who is the market? Customers
What is the product? Product (physical/intentional)
Why is it bought? Purchase objectives
Who influences the purchasing process? Stakeholders
How is the purchase organized? Purchasing process
When does the purchase happen? Purchase triggers
Where does the purchase happen? Point of Sale
14Competitor analysis and benchmarking
- Ongoing analysis of competitors behaviour
- Direct Observation of products, offers,
marketing activities of competitors - Indirect Intelligence about competitors plans
and strategies (Know your enemy better than he
knows himself Sun Zi) - Benchmarking
- Learning from the best in the branch (opposite
best practice can also be from other
branches) - Identifying benchmark competitor for specific
task, analysis of own shortcomings,
implementation, feedback (TQM)
15Definition of Market for specific product
- Markets are mentally constructed
- Markets are dynamic
- Customers decide on market structure
- Classical Segmentation
- Geographical, demographical and psychographical
- Postmodern Segmentierung
- Lifestyle, activities, milieus
16Major trends in customer behaviour
- 1. Changing customer profile
- 2. Shifting consumption pattern
- 3. Intensifying competition / continuing
consolidation - 4. Growing segmentation
- 5. Escalating concern for safety / security
- 6. Increasing value orientation
- 7. Increasing influence of the internet
- 8. Several short trips instead of one long
holiday, short-time decision - 9. Less customers loyalty for Tour Operator or
destination
17Influences on customers behaviour in tourism
Development Observable changes Results for tourism behaviour
Demographical development Greying society more small and single households
Income and wealth More high-income people More wealthy people
Loss of set values Disappearance of class and strata specific behaviour
18Influences on customers behaviour in tourism
Development Observable changes Results for tourism behaviour
Time perception More free time yet feeling of necessity to save time Multitasking
Health and environmental interest Interest in healthiness and environmental impact of products
Level of education and travel experience Increasing education levels and travel experience
19 Tourism motivation
- Some classical theories
- Maslows pyramid of needs
- Fleeing from bad situation at home
- Search for authenticity
- Recreation, regeneration
- Self-actualization
- Contrast to home
- Structuring of time after loss of religious time
frame - Travelling for health reasons
- Travelling for unrestricted enactment of
consumption (sex, alcohol, servility) - Travelling as own goal (the way is the goal
hiking, cruise)
20 Tourists typologies
- Typologies according to
- Activities
- Preferred surroundings
- Spatial behaviour
- Level of integration into local community
- Forms of information gathering
- Opposition to normal life
- Frequency of travel
- Position in biographical development of
travelling - Etc. etc.
- Problem multioptional behaviour within source
markets and within individual tourist increasing,
wish for higher intensity
21Tourists and lifestyle typologies - Examples
- Opaschowski Tourists focussing on
- Integration
- Prestige
- Experience
- Culture
- Entertainment
- Quality
- Economy
- Austria 2000 Euro-Lifestyle
- The careful Recreationist
- The classical Culture tourist
- The demanding Experiencer
- The young Enjoyer
- The young Family
22Marketing for Tour operators
- Discussion
- Major problems
-
- Brand-adequate Quality Dependance on external
service providers - Increasing transparency of offers from
competitors / direct sales - Dependance on destination marketing - Necessitiy
of cooperation -
23Product Management
24Product Management Steps
Market research, analysis, product and marketing planning
Economical and technical planning
Sourcing
Product Management
Publication
PR, Ads, Distribution
Actual trip
After trip/program feedback, controllingCustomer feedback management
25 Product Management policies
Product Management Programme policies Brand policies Product development and adaptation Customer Service
Dimensions of Product Management Dimensions of Product Management
Strategic Product Management Long term development
Tactical Product Management Product development and adaption
Operative Product Management Product realization
26Types of packages tours
- Full package tour
- Part package tour
- Individual package tour (moduls)
- All Inclusive Tour
- Dynamic Packaging
- Specific tours (f.i. business, incentive, cruise,
pilgrime, event tour)
27Product development
- What is the customer really looking for?
- Example Space tourism
- Generic product
- Expected product
- Extended product
- Potential product
-
- Product includes
- Competence to offer product solutions
- Bundle of services necessary
- Service claims and promises
- Risk taking
- Package price
- Preparation, Standardisation, Quality control
28Product adaptation
- What are different source market customers really
looking for? - Product adaptation according to customers
expectations and behaviour - Different stories for same product for different
customers - Spatial differentation for different customer
groups at destination -
29Parts of product
- Technical
- Material, Construction
- Aesthetic
- Form, Colour, Design, Packaging
- Symbolic
- Brand, Image
- Main features
- Aim/Goal of product purchase
- Additional features
- Information, Customer service
30Dynamic Packaging
- Definition
- Choosing, packaging and booking for different
moduls of a package tour in realtime with a
package price - Dynamic Packaging disappears in mass market
- With increase of package tourists standardised
pre-packed tours with standard length and
programme easiert to organise and to sell - Dynamic Packaging reappears in post-industrial
consumer market - Wish for multi-purpose, multi-dimensional travel.
Increase in travel experience by customers, IT
advantages - Dynamic Packaging changes T.O. business
- Need to have stand-alone components ready in
realtime - Muddling of border travel agency tour operator
31Pricing
32Price in the product life cycle
Price
Premium Pricing Premium Pricing Premium Pricing Premium Pricing Premium Pricing
Skimming
Discount Pricing Discount Pricing Discount Pricing Discount Pricing
Cost plus Pricing
Penetration
Time
33Price limits
Price variation of offer Upper price limit Too expensive, outside of price acceptance Price acceptance
Price variation of offer Upper price limit Acceptable increase Price acceptance
Price variation of offer Optimum price limit Planned Budget Price acceptance
Price variation of offer Lower price limit Acceptable decrease Price acceptance
Price variation of offer Lower price limit Too cheap, outside of price acceptance Price acceptance
34Distribution
35Distribution
- Ways of distribution
- Direct distribution
- indirect distribution
- Forms of sales organisations
- Own / others broker, consolidators, traders
- Within the industry (cooperation, franchise,
travel agencies) / outside the industry (retail,
department stores, gas station) - Instruments of distribution
- Agency agreement, commission, direct/indirect
sales support, training of staff
36Direct and indirect Distribution
- DIRECT
- Lower costs
- Better customer relation
- Higher brand awareness
- Less reliance on distribution partners
- But conflict with travel agencies and other
distribution partners - (examples German Railway, Colorline)
- INDIRECT
- Own channels (travel agencies, media groups,
franchise) - Other channels (general, selective or exclusive)
37Travel agencies as distribution channel for tour
operators
- Ein Reisebüro/Reisevermittler ist im Verhältnis
zum Reiseveranstalter Handelsvertreter im Sinne
der 84 ff HGB und für den Kunden / Reisenden
auf der Basis eines entgeltlichen (Provision)
Geschäftsbesorgungsvertrages 675 BGB mit
Werkvertragscharakter 631 ff BGB tätig. - Vertragsgegenstand zwischen Reisebüro und Kunde
ist die - Vermittlung einer einzelnen Reiseleistung eines
fremden Leistungsträgers oder - Vermittlung einer Pauschalreise eines fremden
Reiseveranstalters.
38Function of the travel agency
- Tour operators point of view
- Matchmaking between customer and T.O.
- Commission is only paid if business is generated,
part of variable cost structure - Provision of comprehensive distribution network
without onw investment - Known POS
- Often good location (1A) (physical / internet)
- Existence of loyal regular customers, good
experiences of customers with travel agency
crossing over to recommended T.O. product - Customers point of view
- Easy to reach, personal service
- Physical information (catalogues)
- Consultation, answers to silly questions
- Face-to-face communication, also for complaints
- Filters out unsuitable, unrealiable offers
39Communication policy
40Communication policy
- Goal Positively Influencing
- Own staff
- Potential customers
- Actual customers
- Public opinion
- Politicians, institutions
41Advertisement above the line
- Openly influencing public opinion to
- Keep customers
- Get new customers
- Produce positive environment for own products
- Directly adress customers
42Sales support
- Supporting distribution channels
- Monetary activities
- Commission on sales (basic, special,
volume-based, target-based) - Incentives for individual sellers
- Refinancing of PR/advertisement activities
- Payment of credit card costs etc.
- Non-monetary activities
- Product information
- Trainings
- discounted travels
- decoration materials
- Hotline etc.
- Supporting direct distribution
- Catalogues, discounts, loyalty bonusses etc.
43Public Relations work - below the line
- Indirectly or Covertly influencing public opinion
by - Press releases
- Events
- Sponsoring
- Customers forum
- House magazines
- Website
- Participation in fairs etc.
- Product placement
- Guerilla marketing
- Covert websites support
- Cross selling etc.
44Quality Management
45Quality management
- Quality ? Expensive
- Quality Hardware, Surroundings, Software
- Quality Ongoing process
46TQM Total Quality Management
- Customer point of view How important is the
service offered and how was the quality of the
service perceived? - Producers point of view How good was the quality
management? - TQM as a never-ending upward spiral (Kaizen)
47Ecology management
- Based on
- Laws and regulations
- Customer demand
- Staff demand
- In Germany
- DeHoGa Eco Criteria
- Government subsidies from
- European Recovery Program (ERP)
- Deutsche Ausgleichsbank (DtA)
- Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KfW)
- Bundesländer Subsidies
48Ecology management
- Labels
- Many Ecology labels worldwide on different levels
- Example Bavaria http//www.stmugv.bayern.de/umwel
t/wirtschaft/siegel/index.htm - Other examples
- Blaue Flagge, Grüner Koffer
- Top label in Germany Viabono
49Sources
- Bastian, H., Born, K., (2004) Der integrierte
Tourismuskonzern, München/Wien. - Becker, P., (2004) Yield-Management, Düsseldorf.
- Berg, W., (2001) Tourismus 3, (Hrsg.) Dettmer,
H., Stuttgart. - Bieger, T., (2002) Management der Destination,
5. Auflage, München/Wien. - Böttcher, V., (2005) Virtuell oder real?, TUI
Deutschland, Köln. - Dettmer, H., Glück, E., Hausmann, Th., Kaspar,
C., Logins, H., Opitz, W., Schneid, W., (2000)
Tourismustypen, München/Wien. - Dettmer, H., Hausmann, Th., Kloss, I., Meisl, H.,
Weithöner, U., Degott, P., (1999)
Tourismus-Marketing-Management, München/Wien. - Dettmer, H., Hausmann, T., Kaspar, C., Oppitz,
W., Schneid, W., (2001) Tourismusbetriebswirtscha
ft 2 Managementformen im Tourismus,
Wien/Köln/Aarau. - Dettmer, H., Hausmann, Th., (2004)
Yield-Management, Bad Harzburg. - Dettmer, H., u.a., (2005) Managementformen im
Tourismus, München/Wien.
50- DSF - Deutsches Seminar für Fremdenverkehr,
(2002) Pauschalreisen rechtlich absichern,
Berlin. - Eisner, H., (1987) Reiserecht Entscheidungen,
München. - Echtermeyer, M., (1998) Elektronisches
Tourismus-Marketing, Berlin/New York. - Fresi, A., (2005) Die nächste Generation der
Reiseproduktion Realtime Enterprise
Kollaboration in der Reiseindustrie, Siemens,
Köln. - Freyer, W., (1998) Tourismus, 7. Auflage,
München/Wien. - Freyer W., Pompl, W., (1999) Reisebüro-Management
, München/Wien. - fvw, (2005) TID, Der Touristik
Informationsdienst, Hamburg. - Glaeßer, D., (2001) Krisenmanagement im
Tourismus, Frankfurt. - Gruner, A., (2000) Tourismus 2, (Hrsg.) Dettmer,
H., Köln. - Gruner, A., (2004) Methoden des
Yield-Managements im Logisbereich der
internationalen Hotellerie, München. - Haedrich, G., Kaspar, C., Klemm, Ch., Kreilkamp,
E., (1998) Tourismus-Management, 3. Auflage,
Berlin/New York.
51- Hänssler, K.H., (2000) Management in der
Hotellerie und Gastronomie, 4. Auflage,
München/Wien. - Kärcher, K., (2004) Urlaub per Mausklick Die
Potenziale des Dynamic Packaging. - Kaspar, C., (1986) Die Fremdenverkehrslehre im
Grundriss, 3. Auflage, St. Gallen. - Kirstges, T. (1992) Sanfter Tourismus,
München/Wien. - Kotler, P., Bliemel, F., (2001)
Marketing-Management, 10. Auflage, Stuttgart. - Kreilkamp, E., (2002) Reisbüros unter Druck,
Wiesbaden. - Kreilkamp, E., (1999) Die Zukunft der
Reisebüros, Lüneburg. - Logins, H., (2004) Yield-Management
Arbeitspapier, München. - Medlik, S., (1991) Managing Tourism, Oxford.
- Mundt, J.W., (1998) Reiseveranstaltung,
4.Auflage, München/Wien. - Nies, I., (2005) Reisebüro, Rechts- und
Versicherungsfragen, 2. Auflage, München.
52- Olfert, K., Rahn, H.J., (2001) Lexikon der
Betriebswirtschaftslehre, 4. Auflage,
Ludwigshafen. - Opaschowski, H.W., (2005) Tourismusanalyse 2005
mit Grundlagenforschung, Hamburg. - Pichler, S., (2000), E-Business in der
Reisebranche Chancen oder Risiko?, Wiesbaden. - Pompl, W., (2002) Luftverkehr, 4. Auflage,
Berlin/Heidelberg. - Pompl, W., (1997) Touristikmanagement 1, 2.
Auflage, Berlin/Heidelberg. - Pompl, W., (1996) Touristikmanagement 2,
Berlin/Heidelberg. - Pompl, W., Lieb, M., (1997) Qualitätsmanagement
im Tourismus, München/Wien. - Pompl, W., Lieb, M., (2002) Tourismus-Management,
München. - Porter, M.E., (1999) Wettbewerbsstrategien, 10.
Auflage, Frankfurt/New York. - Rudolph, H., (1999) Tourismus-Betriebswirtschafts
lehre, München/ Wien. - Roth, P., Schrand, A., (2003) Touristik-Marketing
, 4. Auflage, München.
53- Schiava, M., Hafner, M., (1995)
Service-Marketing im Tourismus, 4. Auflage, Wien. - Schneider, A., (2005) Virtuelle Veranstalter im
Praxistest, Köln. - Schnyder, W., (2002) Die Zukunft der
Airline-Vergütung, Wiesbaden. - Schreiber, Th., (1999) Kongress- und
Tagungsmanagement, München/Wien - Schroeder, G., ( 2002) Lexikon der
Tourismuswirtschaft, 4. Auflage, Hamburg. - Seitz, E., (2001) Fallstudien zum
Tourismus-Marketing, München. - Steinecke, A., (2000) Erlebnis- und
Konsumwelten, München/Wien. - Sterzenbach, R., Conrady, R., (2003)
Luftverkehr, 3. Auflage, München/Wien. - Voigt, P., (2001) Internationales
Reiseveranstaltungsmanagement, München. - Viegas, A., (1998) Ökomanagement im Tourismus,
München/Wien. - Weiermair, K., Wöhler, K., (1998)
Personalmanagement im Tourismus, Limburgerhof. - Weis, Ch., (1999) Marketing, (Hrsg.) Olfert, K.,
11. Auflage, Ludwigshafen.
54- Wöhler, K., Schertler, W., (1993) Touristisches
Umweltmanagement, Limburgerhof. - Wolf, J., Seitz, E., (1991) Tourismus-Management
und Marketing, Landsberg/Lech.
55Abbrevations
- AG Aktiengesellschaft
- AGB Allgemeine Geschäftsbedingungen
- AGBG Allgemeine Geschäftsbedingungen Gesetz
- BCG Boston Consulting Group
- BGB Bürgerliche Gesetzbuch
- BAT British American Tobacco
- BSP Billing and Settlement Plan
- BTM Business Travel Management
- CA Canada/USA
- CSI Customer Satisfaction Index
- CRS Computer Reservation System
- DB Deutsche Bahn
- DCR Differenz zwischen Business Class und dem
Rechnungsbetrag - DER Deutsches Reisebüro
56- DMC Destination Management Company
- DMO Destination Marketing Organisation
- ETIX Electronic Ticket
- FTI Frosch Touristik International
- FuE Forschung und Entwicklung
- GDS Global Distribution System
- GF Geschäftführer
- GfK Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung
- GSA/GV General Sales Agent/General-Vertretung
- HGB Handelsgesetzbuch
- HLX Hapag Lloyd Express
- InfV Informations-Verordnung
57- IPK Institut für Planungs-Kybernetik
- ITS Internationaler Touristik Service
- KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau
- LCA/LBA Low-Cost-Airlines/Low-Budget-Airlines
- LCC Lufthansa City-Center/Low Cost Carrier
- LG Landgericht
- LTI Luft Transport und Immobilien
- LTS Luft Transport und Service
- LTU Luft Transport Unternehmen (Luft Transport
Union) - LVG Luftverkehrsgesellschaft
- MIS Management- oder Marketing-Informations-Syste
m - NSA Norwegische Schifffahrts-Agentur
- NUR Neckermann Touristik
- NVAG Neckermann-Versand AG
- PangVO Preis-Angaben-Verordnung
58- RB Reisebüro
- RM Reisemittler, Revenue Management
- R/N Room/Night
- T.O. Reiseveranstalter
- RV Reiseveranstaltung
- RZ Risiko-Zuschlag
- TC Thomas Cook
- TN Teilnehmer
- TQ3 Total Quality 3
- TQM Total Quality Management
- TUC TUI Urlaubs Center
- PAF Pay-as-you-fly
- PD Preisdifferenzierung
- PM Product-Manager
- POS Point of Sale
59- PR Public Relation
- PTA Prepaid Ticket Advice (Rufpassage)
- QM Qualitätsmanagement
- TUI Touristik Union International
- TVG Touristische Vertriebs-Gesellschaft
- UWG Unlauterer Wettbewerbsgesetz
- VF Verkaufsförderung
- WKZ Werbekosten-Zuschüsse
- YM Yield Management (Revenue Management)
- 3BZ Dreibettzimmer
- 4BZ Vierbettzimmer