DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS

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DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Warren Smith Data Analyst, Barnstable County
Dept. of Human Services and Senior
Mobility Initiative on Cape Cod
CHARTING THE COURSE Power in Aging
Collaborative Planning Summit November 9,
2007 Barnstable Senior Center
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Todays PresentationWhat We Know About Older
Cape Codders

• DEMOGRAPHIC HIGHLIGHTS
• Cape Cods Older Population
• Individuals
• Households with Age 65 Persons

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Demographics
of Cape Cods Older Population
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(No Transcript)
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Older Population at 2005
0
45,000 Women
36,000 Men
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After 10-Years 2015
58,000 Men
74,000 Women
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2015
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Primary Reason For This Population Growth

• Baby Boomers

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Baby Boomers(19-Year Cohort 1946-1964)

• Post WWII Babies
• Youngest is Age 44
• Oldest is Age 61
• Started Turning 60 Last Year

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Capes Boomers in 2006 (latest US Census
estimates)
59,000 Boomers (Ages 43-60) 26 of Total
Population - 31,000 females (53) - 28,000
males (47) Oldest Boomers Became Eligible For
COA Services in 2006 (the leading edge is
here!) Turning Age 60 at rate of 8 per day
(one every 3 hours!)
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Boomers plus Senior/Elders

• Comprise 55 of the Capes Population

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Older Populations Income

• Aggregate Social Security Income 562 mil
• Aggregate Retirement Income 630 mil
• _______
• 1.2 Billion
• plus earned income, dividends, etc.
• Now Thats POWER IN AGING!

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Individuals
Independence is key!
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Aging in Place
Aging in place is growing older without having
to move.1 Some 70 of seniors spend the rest
of their life
in the place where they
celebrated their 65th birthday.1 FUTURE
90 of Baby Boomers plan to age in
place (Would mean about 70,000 on Cape
by 2015, 100,000 by 2025,. . . . ) 1.
Source Resource For Aging In Place,
www.seniorresource.com/ageinpl.htm
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Mobility(Getting Out and About on Cape Cod)

• 65 Drive an Automobile 45,000
• .. 5,800 are ages 75-84
• .. 2,500 are age 85
• Non-Drivers 13,000
• Cant Walk ¼ Mile 13,000 (to bus, etc.)
• Have Go-Outside-Home" Disability
• 11,000 (alone, to doctor or shopping)

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Illness
Annual Diagnoses
Cancer..925
Heart Disease.2,625
Respiratory.1,500 Total
Cases Alzheimers 1,500 persons (includes
undiagnosed cases) Impaired Vision 11,000
Impaired Hearing 21,000
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Mortality

• Life Expectancy (USA-level data in 2003)
• At Age Males
  Females
• 60 80.4 years 83.7 years
• 65 81.8 84.7
• 70 83.4 85.9
• 75 85.5 87.5
• 80 87.9 89.5
• 85 90.9 92.0
• 90 94.3 95.0
• 95 98.1 98.5
• 100
  102.2 102.5
• Deaths
• Age 60 persons are dying at a rate of 6 per day
• (death rate is slowing down!)
• Note People are turning age 60 at a rate of 8
  per day

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Households

• With Someone Age 65

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Household Profile(Someone in household is age
65)

• Number of Households 35,000
• 36 of all households
• One Adult LIVING ALONE 29
• Average Size 2.0 persons
• AT LEAST ONE PERSON Retired 81
• EVERYONE in Household Retired 61

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Household Profile (continued)

• Have disabled/chronically ill person(s) 25
• Include Frail Elders 20
• Receive Home Health/Aide Services 7
• Uses PUBLIC Transportation (RTA) 5

• Uses PRIVATE Transportation 13
• (includes taxi, family/friends,
• COA, PB, etc.)