Title: Pitchbook
1A publication of WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC 7
Saint Paul Street ? 5th Floor ? Baltimore, MD
21202
OutsourceWorld Conference 2006 Wednesday, October
18, 2006
An Analysts View of IT/BPO Services Presentati
on by Ed Caso Senior IT/BPO Services Analyst
Source Microsoft Office
Edward S. Caso, Jr., CFA Managing Director (443)
263-6524 edward.caso_at_wachovia.com Eric J.
Boyer Associate Analyst (443) 263-6559 eric.boyer_at_
wachovia.com Dhruv Maniktala, CFA Associate
Analyst (410) 625-6381 dhruv.maniktala_at_wachovia.co
m
All relevant disclosures and certifications
appear on page 10 of this report Wachovia Capital
Markets, LLC does and seeks to do business with
companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, investors should be aware that the firm
may have a conflict of interest that could affect
the objectivity of the report and investors
should consider this report as only a single
factor in making their investment decision.
2Ed Caso - Bio
- Edward S. Caso, Jr.
- Managing Director and Senior IT Services Analyst
- Wachovia
- Equity Research 20 years (last 12 years focused
on IT/BPO Services) - Wachovia
- Alex. Brown
- Goldman Sachs
- Current Coverage
- Commercial Consulting/ Integration Accenture,
BearingPoint, CIBER, Diamond - Outsourcing Computer Sciences, Hewitt
Associates, Perot Systems, Unisys - Offshore Cognizant, Keane, Sapient
- Government Services CACI, DynCorp, ManTech, SI
Intl, SRA Intl - Bucknell University - BA (Mathematics/ Economics)
- Cornell University - MBA (Finance/ Accounting)
- Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA)
3INVESTMENTS What We Look For
- Market Positioning (are you yesterdays model?)
- Growth opportunity within existing client base
- New business capabilities (have or making BP
investment) - Consistent long-term (annual) organic growth
- Opportunity for operating margin expansion
- Positive cash flow and a solid balance sheet
- Shareholder friendly
- But most importantly, a strong management team
4Daily Indexed Price Performance
(October 3, 2003 October 4, 2006)
Source FactSet
5Systems Integration/ Application Dev.
Maintenance
ISSUES/ CONCERNS
POSITIVES
- Sensitive to overall investment spending
- Beneficiary of systems consolidation driven by
efficiency focus or MA - Beneficiary move to Internet- and wireless based
solutions - Ongoing testing improves quickly
- 1998 was last big mission critical upgrade
- Uptick in SAP and Oracle integration work
- Utilization stable with signs of upward bias
- Uneven pace of Economic recovery
- Off-shore keeps pressure on pricing
- G2000 mindset keeps pressure on pricing
- Lack of big theme (e.g. Y2k, Dot.coms)
- Signs of voluntary turnover rising
6Outsourcing IT Services Market
ISSUES/ CONCERNS
POSITIVES
- Common acceptance of outsourcing
- Multi-year contracts offer revenue visibility
- Door opener for incremental work
- Beneficiary of reduced telecom costs allowing for
increased distributed processing - Helps facilitate change (internal politics)
- Several flavors with varying margins
- ITO (infrastructure, lowest margin)
- ADMO (software, good margin)
- BPO (people based - okay margin)
- BPO (volume based - very good margin)
- Intermediaries (e.g. TPI, Everest) have put
meaningful pressure on pricing - Deal sizes getting smaller- dollar and length
- Growing need for global solution capabilities
- Contract flexibility is difficult without
severe margin risk - contentious relationships - Most contracts are re-negotiated
- Capital intensive, although becoming less so
- Offshore providers moving into traditional ITO
and BPO services
7Offshore IT Services Market
ISSUES/ CONCERNS
POSITIVES
- Clients now assume offshore component
- Price advantage (fully loaded) remains large
- Demand is very strong
- Master Services Agreements offer better growth
and economics than large outsourcing deals - Expanding breadth of service offerings
- Emerging European opportunity
- Tier I established - TCS, INFY, WIT, CTSH, ACN,
IBM - Strong, established brands, perceived quality
- Pricing premium
- Ability to recruit / train on scale basis
- Employee turnover rising
- Wages rising for experienced professionals and
now freshers - Need strong recruiting/training processes
- Rising CAPX requirements, especially for Tier
II providers - Political risk - more noise than reality
- Need to build better new business capabilities
- China Eastern Europe, still a ways off
8Key Conclusions
- Commercial-focused providers need to adapt to a
global delivery model - Latecomers will need to acquire offshore factory,
or become front-end for an established offshore
player that needs clients or vertical knowledge - Mega outsourcing rarely worksbite sized deals
are optimalopens opportunity for new vertical
focused BPO providers - Consolidation is natural next step as markets
mature - Acquisitions should be for new offerings/
clients, never for just people - Public consolidators need to do deals that are
year one accretive - Be big, or be nicheand niches get only so big,
so have an exit strategy - Remember, it is always about management
9Wachovia IT/BPO Equity Research Products
- Weekly (email) newsletter
- 10 years and going strong
- over 2,500 now get it
- summary of our research, news items,
valuation update - Quarterly statistical reports (consultants
govt space) - everything that is public info
- financial statement analysis plus additional
metrics - Theme reports Field trip summaries
- Individual company reports
- Send email to edward.caso_at_wachovia.com to get on
our weekly list.
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