1
HINTERLAND potentials for a spatial development
under the aspects of decline H I N T E R L A N
D(the Methods of the Research)
Šiauliai County Governors Administration
2
The Aim of the Research

• To prepare and substantiate the strategy of the
  development of remote settlements of Šiauliai
  County

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Objectives

1. To identify the current situation of Šiauliai
   County
2. To identify the current situation of nine rural
   elderships of the County
3. To prepare and substantiate a strategic plan of
   Šiauliai County for the year 2007 2013
4. To substantiate the development strategies of
   nine rural elderships of the County
5. To distinguish and compare indicators
   characteristic to similar territories of the
   project partners (hinterlands), to perform the
   analysis of the influence of the indicators, to
   apply suitable conclusions to Šiauliai Region.

4
The Object of the Research

1. Šiauliai County human resources, economy,
   environment
2. Two rural elderships from each problematic
   territory (Akmene, Joniškis, Kelme districts) and
   one rural eldership from the rest three districts
   of the Region (Radviliškis, Pakruojis, Šiauliai).

5
The Methods of the Research

• Methods of spatial planning for the situational
  analysis of the County and for the substantiation
  of the priorities of development
• analysis of environment
• analysis of resources
• SWOT analysis
• formation and substantiation of the activity
  strategy
• formation of the programs corresponding to the
  priorities
• organization of monitoring of the implementation
  of the strategy.

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The Methods of the Research

• 2. The methods of content analysis of documents,
  expert evaluation, opinion polls, sociometric
  methods for the analysis of the empirical data of
  the situation of rural elderships
• 3. Methods of alternatives, generalization,
  analogy, extrapolation, comparison, modelling,
  synthesis, systemic analysis for the
  substantiation of the possibilities to reduce the
  decline of rural elderships.

7
Expected Results

1. Development strategies of rural elderships of
   Šiauliai County, recommendations how to make
   their activity more efficient
2. Strategy of Šiauliai County
3. Indicators characteristic to similar territories
   of the project partners (hinterlands)
   distinguished and compared, the analysis of the
   influence of indicators performed, suitable
   conclusions applied to Šiauliai Region.

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Expected Indicators of the County
General Indicators of Šiauliai County 2005 Average of Lithuania Difference (per cent)
GDP of Šiauliai County per inhabitant, thousand LTL
Rate of unemployment, per cent
Sales per inhabitant, thousand LTL
Direct foreign investments per inhabitant, LTL
Material investments per inhabitant, LTL
Number of the employed
Migration of inhabitants, per cent
Average labour payment, LTL
Export per inhabitant, thousand LTL
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Expected Indicators of Elderships
Demography 2003 2004 2005
Population, men/women, children up to 18 years of age, the retired
Number of families, average size of family
Natural increase of population
Migration saldo
Kinship relations
Relations with cities
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Expected Indicators of Elderships
Society 2003 2004 2005
Indicators of social security
Main indicators of the situation of the disabled
Asociality, socialization of the persons discharged from imprisonment institutions
Activity of educational institutions, education of the inhabitants
Activity of cultural institutions
Health care
Quality of services
Sociality
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Expected indicators of Elderships
Economy 2003 2004 2005
Distribution of population according to occupations
Number of agricultural farms, main indicators
Number of business enterprises, main indicators
Countryside tourism, the development of its infrastructure
Territories of cultivable and uncultivable land
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Expected Indicators of Elderships
Life Quality 2003 2004 2005
Condition of roads and streets
Constructions change and quality of villages and homesteads
Electrical and communication lines
Water-supply and wastewater
Informational technologies
Gasification
Heating
Quality of public territories