Forecasting the impact of technology on the citizen

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Forecasting the impact of technology on the
citizen

• Tom Wills-Sandford
• Deputy Director General
• Intellect

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Drivers

• Past
• Processors
• Software
• Storage

• Current Future
• Software and Services
• Globalisation
• Mobility
• Networks
• The citizen
• Market convergence
• Energy
• Processors
• Storage

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Some priorities for UK

• Next generation broadband
• Better understanding by government of the
  knowledge economy
• Skills as never before!
• Innovation and government procurement

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Predicting the future

• Past
• Moores, Wirths and Kryders laws

(Wirth Software gets slower faster than hardware
gets faster)

• 2007
• If the technology of the parts is evolving so
  rapidly, what is the impact of the sum on
  citizens?
• Is there a law that forecasts the impact of
  technology on the citizen?
• Moores law drove engineers. Would a technology
  impact law help drive our industry?

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Predicting the future outputs and outcomes

• Outputs
• Mobility
• Always on
• Easier access to services
• Convergence

• Outcomes
• More multi-threading constant partial
  attention
• Wider thinner social networks
• More visual
• Media producers and not consumers