Fig. 14.01

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Fig. 14.01
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Oil and Natural Gas

• In the summer of 2002, after I had written an
  article in Esquire that the White House didn't
  like about Bush's former communications director,
  Karen Hughes, I had a meeting with a senior
  adviser to Bush. He expressed the White House's
  displeasure, and then he told me something that
  at the time I didn't fully comprehend - but which
  I now believe gets to the very heart of the Bush
  presidency.
•     The aide said that guys like me were "in
  what we call the reality-based community," which
  he defined as people who "believe that solutions
  emerge from your judicious study of discernible
  reality." I nodded and murmured something about
  enlightenment principles and empiricism. He cut
  me off. "That's not the way the world really
  works anymore," he continued. "We're an empire
  now, and when we act, we create our own reality.
  And while you're studying that reality -
  judiciously, as you will - we'll act again,
  creating other new realities, which you can study
  too, and that's how things will sort out. We're
  history's actors . . . and you, all of you, will
  be left to just study what we do."
• --Ron Suskind, Without a Doubt, New York Times
  Magazine, Oct. 17, 2004
• John Hoaglund Proud member of the reality based
  community
• Empiricism rocks!!

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• Environmental and Issues with Oil and Gas (Not a
  complete list)
• Environmental
• CO2, NO2, CH4 emission (atmospheric greenhouse
  gasesgtclimate change)
• SO2, NO2 Acid Precipitation 2SO2 O2 2H2O
  2H2SO4 (atmospheric)
• Ozone O3 (Smog)
• Oil Production Brine and solid S disposal (see
  acid mine drainage), road and pipe networks,
  abandoned wells
• Refining and Handling a) oil spills (Exxon
  Valdez) b) Storage releases.
• War Radioactivity (depleted U), Oil fires,
  etc., etc.

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Society is organized around the continuous
effort to convert available energy from the
environment into used energy to sustain human
existence (Rifken, p.46)
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• Environmental and Issues with Oil and Gas (Not a
  complete list)
• Environmental
• CO2, NO2, CH4 emission (atmospheric greenhouse
  gasesgtclimate change)
• SO2, NO2 Acid Precipitation 2SO2 O2 2H2O
  2H2SO4 (atmospheric)
• Ozone O3 (Smog)
• Oil Production Brine and solid S disposal (see
  acid mine drainage), road and pipe networks,
  abandoned wells
• Refining and Handling a) oil spills (Exxon
  Valdez) b) Storage releases.
• War Radioactivity (depleted U), Oil fires,
  etc., etc.
• Society is organized around the continuous
  effort to convert available energy from the
  environment into used energy to sustain human
  existence (Rifken, p.46)

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Fig. 13.13
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• Environmental and Issues with Oil and Gas (Not a
  complete list)
• Environmental
• CO2, NO2, CH4 emission (atmospheric greenhouse
  gasesgtclimate change)
• SO2, NO2 Acid Precipitation 2SO2 O2 2H2O
  2H2SO4 (atmospheric)
• Ozone O3 (Smog)
• Oil Production Brine and solid S disposal (see
  acid mine drainage), road and pipe networks,
  abandoned wells
• Refining and Handling a) oil spills (Exxon
  Valdez) b) Storage releases.
• War Radioactivity (depleted U), Oil fires,
  etc., etc.
• Society is organized around the continuous
  effort to convert available energy from the
  environment into used energy to sustain human
  existence (Rifken, p.46)

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Fig. 13.12
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Fig. 13.14
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Oil and Gas Resources

• "...no initiative put in place starting today can
  have a substantial effect on the peak production
  year. No Caspian Sea exploration, no drilling in
  the South China Sea, no SUV replacements, no
  renewable energy projects can be brought on at a
  sufficient rate to avoid a bidding war for the
  remaining oil ... at least, let's hope that the
  war is waged with cash instead of with nuclear
  warheads."
• --Kenneth S. Deffeyes, geologist, professor
  emeritus, Princeton University
• -- as quoted from original footnoted sources in
  The Hydrogen Economy, p. 28, by Jeremy Rifkin,
  2002
• note Deffeyes was featured in John McPhee's
  book, Basin and Range, 1980

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Campbell-Laherrère World Oil Production
Estimates, 1930-2050
Production Peak 2004
Campbell
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Published Estimates of World Oil Ultimate Recovery
USGS 5 2000
USGS Mean 2000
USGS 95 2000
Campbell 1995
Masters 1994
Campbell 1992
Bookout 1989
Masters 1987
Martin 1984
Nehring 1982
Halbouty 1981
Meyerhoff 1979
Nehring 1978
Nelson 1977
Folinsbee 1976
Adams Kirby 1975
Linden 1973
Moody 1972
Moody 1970
Shell 1968
Weeks 1959
MacNaughton 1953
Weeks 1948
Pratt 1942
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Trillions of Barrels
Source USGS and Colin Campbell
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Notes (1) World average oil production per
capita (ô) grew exponentially from 1920 to 1973.
(2) Next, the average growth rate was near zero
from 1973 to the all-time peak in 1979. (3) Then
from its peak in 1979 to 1999, ô decreased
strongly by an average of 1.20 /year. (4)
Typical response "I didn't know that!" (5) The
little cartoons emphasize that oil is by far the
major primary source of energy for transportation
(i.e. about 95 of the oil produced in 1999 was
used for transportation). http//dieoff.org/page22
4.htm OLDUVAI GORGE, i.e. return to the Stone
Age THEORY (Richard Duncan)
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Fig. 13.11
"With, without, and who'll deny it's what the
fighting's all about." --Roger Waters, from the
album Dark Side of the Moon by Pink Floyd
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Fig. 13.01
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Fig. 13.24
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Fig. 13.25
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Fig. 13.26
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Fig. 13.27
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Fig. 13.10
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Fig. 13.09