Title: The German economy between the wars
1The German economy between the wars
- Lecture 2
- De-mobilization, inflation and the slide into
hyperinflation (1918 1920). - Dr. Cristiano Ristuccia
- car37_at_cam.ac.uk
2- Post-war readjustment.
- Transition from war to peace economy.
- Position of Germany not totally untypical
- Negative effects on public finances
- but exacerbated by antiquated and cumbersome
fiscal system - Germany was also unable to liquidate her foreign
assets or to gain access to large-scale foreign
loans -
- High human losses
-
- NO great physical destruction
3- Post-war readjustment.
- Transition from war to peace economy.
- Position of Germany not totally untypical
- Negative effects on trade
- But economic dislocation (loss of substantial
production base) - Loss of traditional markets (economic nationalism
in the successor states of the Austro-Hungarian
Empire) - Loss of transport for exports (terms of the
Armistice) - Blockade
4- Post-war readjustment.
- Transition from war to peace economy.
- Position of Germany not totally untypical
- Transition from war to peace-production
- particularly problematic (effect of total war
programme of 1916-17) - Demobilization problems particularly arduous - no
planning (rather unexpected acceleration of
events) - Politisation, unionisation, and extremism.
5Trade Union Membership
Source Feldman (1997), p. 80.
6Free TU membership
Source Feldman (1997), p. 125.
7Universal Suffrage ? Shift in policymaking
towards
- Redistributive policies
- Control over the means of production (as in
forms of state proprietorship or regulation of
industry, or Trade Union representation on the
boards of companies, or direct management of
private companies by workers) - Work conditions
- Unemployment
- Consumption subsidies.
8Debt domestic and reparations.
Reich finances as a percentage of National Net
Product
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10Debt renewal issues
- Public weary of new issues and over-invested in
State Debt. - ?
- Domestic and foreign deposits mobilised by banks
to buy short-term floating Public Debt. - ?
- Increase in the circulation of Treasury Bills
(48 between October 1918 and June 1919). - ?
- Increased risk of default associated with the
shortening of debt maturities - Monetisation of the debt as the bills bought by
banks and rediscounted at the Reichsbank. October
1918 to mid-June 1919 currency in circulation of
69 .
11- StinnesLegien agreement (15 Nov. 1918)
- (1) recognition of the unions
- (2) mandatory collective bargaining (3)
workers committees - (4) eight-hour day (same wage)
-
12Unemployment in Germany November 1918 March
1920This is the unemployed members of the trade
unions as a percentage of the total members of
the TUs.
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15Table 1. Consumer price indices 1918 100
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17Index of real wages and salaries of blue collar
workers and civil servants
18- Dealing with the legacies of the war (1918-1920)
- Post-war readjustment. Transition from war to
peace-economy - Unemployment demobilization further strain on
the Reichs finances - Increased structural demand on the Reichs budget
(i.e. war pensions) - High prices - insufficient domestic production
lowered standards of living proletarianisation
of the middle class. Price subsidies. - Debt domestic and reparations.
- Low real wages - Wage demands workers economic
power - Revolution political instability proportional
representation in a fragmented and divided polity
19Why is the government so willing to accommodate
wage and price demands? Revolution and political
instability in a fragmented and divided polity
- 1917 Bolshevik revolution
- 1918 Revolution (Soldiers and workers councils)
- 1919 January Spartacist attempt (easily
suppressed with the use of police, army and Free
Corps in mid January 1919 and concluded with the
assassination of Rosa Luxemburg and Karl
Liebknecht) - Jan April 1919 widespread food riots, strikes,
and uprisings and subsequent brutal suppression
by the army and the Free Corps (Ruhr, Berlin,
Central Germany, Braunschweig, Bremen, Munich and
Hamburg) - April 1919 Munich Revolution (dictatorship of the
Councils) Free Corps repression - March 1920 Kapp Putsch - Ruhr uprising and
General Strike - July 1920 rioting, plundering, and strikes
against the repeal of price subsidies and new
taxation measures - 20-31 March 1921 Communist Uprising in Central
Germany - Strength of TUs
- Universal suffrage (strength of the working class
political organisation) - Proportional Representation
- 5 governments and two General elections between 9
Nov 1918 and 4 May 1921 - Extremism Stab in the Back and strength of
communist organisations - Widespread political
violence.
20- Hole in the west
- Double stalemate (see Eichengreen, Golden
Fetters, Ch. 5) - the extreme right had no interest in an
effective tax program so long as the reparation
bill was unsettled (Feldman 1996, p. 163).