Title: Earthquake Hazard
1Earthquake Hazard A Primer by Muawia Barazangi
and Christopher Harig Institute for the Study of
the Continents Snee Hall Cornell
University Ithaca, New York 14853 (July 30, 2004)
The following pages/slides describe
comprehensive guidelines to address all issues
related to an Earthquake Hazard program. These
guidelines are designed to be relatively simple,
but also accurate and complete. Initially we
searched both printed references and Internet
sites looking for such a complete document, but
without any success. Of course, we did find
numerous documents and publications that discuss
different aspects of earthquake hazard. We have
extensively used different elements from these
available publications while developing our own
system (see references at the end of this
document). This document represents an
earthquake hazard framework that we have
developed that makes use of abundant available
literature and is time-based. That is, we
discuss the different components of an earthquake
hazard program based on how far or close a
particular component is from the origin time of
an earthquake. Needless to say, this document
will be revised and updated as we receive
comments and suggestions from the readers.
Please send your comments and suggestions to
Muawia Barazangi (mb44_at_cornell.edu)
2Earthquake Hazard in SyriaAssessment
1. Tectonic/geologic framework of Syria 2. Why
earthquakes in Syria 3. Active faults in Syria 4.
Earthquake distribution, both recent and
historical 5. Surface deformation, movement, and
shaking during an earthquake 6. A possible
tsunami along coastal Syria 7. Local geology and
earthquake intensity 8. Likely effects of a major
earthquake on engineering structures and
subsurface life-line infrastructures 9. What to do
3Earthquake Hazard
- Assessment (Geological/Geophysical Basic Studies,
- Engineering aspects, Site Characteristics,
Sociology and - Human Relations)
- Preparedness (Time Based Scale)
- During Earthquake (Short Phenomenon)
- Response (Time Based Scale)
- Recovery (Months, Years)
4Earthquake Hazard
- Assessment
- Seismology Networks (seismic/strong motion),
seismicity, focal mechanisms, attenuation,
reflection refraction, crust upper mantle
structure, tomography, modeling, historical
earthquakes, paleoseismology, etc. - Geophysics GPS, InSAR, gravity/magnetics, GPR,
Remote sensing, etc. - Active Tectonics Field structural geology,
trenching, geomorphology, mapping of
faults/folds/basins, Quaternary and Recent
dating, imagery, etc. - Engineering Aspects Engineering seismology,
earthquake engineering, site characteristics
(soil and bedrock), shallow drilling, structural
engineering, testing shaking, modeling, etc. - Sociology and Human Relations
- Earthquake Economy and Insurance
5Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Imminent Planning
6Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
7Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)
- Home Safety
- Workplace Safety
8Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)
While land use may seem like a State
responsibility, there is much an individual can
do. People can examine the environment and
decide not to live in areas with greater natural
hazard. Choosing to live in one area of
Damascus, for example, versus another could have
a great impact during the next earthquake. After
being educated about the hazard and risks,
individuals are able to make better informed
choices about where to live.http//www.seismic.c
a.gov/celrp/sscland.htm http//www.pnsn.org/INFO
_GENERAL/NQT/reduce_losses.html
9Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)
- Home safetyFamilies are the best equipped to
determine hazard risk in their home. If they are
involved in the construction of a new home,
homeowners should take on the responsibility of
making sure their construction follows proper
seismic building codes. Alternatively, families
should examine their current home and determine
whether it is secure enough for the hazard. This
process varies with locale and building methods.
Also, all homeowners living in an earthquake
hazard area should invest in earthquake
insurance. While saving lives is the first
priority, the financial cost of an earthquake
disaster is also very significant and sometimes
overlooked.
10Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)
- Home safety
- Workplace SafetyIt is both the responsibility of
the individual and the State to estimate and/or
determine the relative safety of the workplace.
11Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)
- New Construction
- Current Structures
- Response Infrastructure
- Public Education
12Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Community/State
- Land Use (finding safe places to live/build)As
the population in seismic hazard areas continues
to grow, so does the risk of loss from
earthquakes. Land use consideration is one of
the simplest things the government can do to
prevent earthquake losses. There are several
important things that need to be considered when
planning for land use area seismic hazards
should be sufficiently mapped (microzonation),
geologic hazard reports should be created for new
development areas, local/regional hazard
information needs to be directly addressed in all
site use planning, emergency response to areas of
increased hazard should be considered, and cost
and speed of recovery should also be considered.
Though it is not possible to move mega-cities
(such as Damascus), it is quite possible to
significantly improve the safety of most
infrastructures of such cities.
13Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Community/State
- New ConstructionIn this instance the State is
in a unique position to greatly impact the safety
of many people with a reasonable increase in the
cost. The development of seismic building codes
and enforcing their use in construction of new
private homes, utilities such as power lines, and
State buildings such as hospitals and schools
have the potential to save many lives and prevent
financial losses in a disaster.
14Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Community/State
- Current StructuresAs part of developing a
seismically prepared urban environment, existing
structures are also in need of attention. The
State should study the sustainability and
retrofit of existing structures such as schools,
hospitals, and lifelines. Retrofitting is a cost
effective method of earthquake risk mitigation.
The government should also encourage private
building owners to upgrade and retrofit their
structures with incentives such as tax
breaks.http//www.seismic.ca.gov/sscmit.htm
15Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Community/State
- Response InfrastructureIn addition to risk
mitigation, a key goal of the State should be
preparing for response in the event of a
disaster. At the national level, the state can
assist local governments in the development of
response infrastructure such as fire and police
departments, and urban search and rescue units.
They can also provide support for all existing
departments through national agencies. These
agencies (such as Fire Administration) can aid in
the purchase and maintenance of equipment used in
response and recovery operations. In addition,
it is imperative that the State develop
telecommunications at both local and national
levels.http//www.usfa.fema.govhttp//www.fema.
gov/usr
16Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Long Term Planning (Years)
- Community/State
- Public EducationIt is essential that the
population is aware of and understands the basics
of earthquake hazards Schools and the media
should be the focus of this education effort.
17Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
18Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Individual/Family
- Family Emergency Planning Since emergency
personnel cannot help everyone immediately, it is
important for families to make their own
emergency plan of action after a disaster. The
plans can help families stay organized in times
of crisis, and can help families to help
themselves. These plans can vary in detail, but
they should all touch upon the following topics
arrange meeting locations for family members
after a disaster, set up a family contact outside
of your region to coordinate communication
between family members, discuss different actions
that are needed for different disasters, and
discuss the possibility of an evacuation.http//
www.redcross.org/services/disaster/0,1082,0_601_,0
0.html
19Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
- Disaster Response/Recovery Planning
- Public Education
- Maintaining Readiness/Response Capabilities
- Communications
20Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Community/State
- Disaster Response/Recovery Planning Disaster
response planning is a key aspect of
preparedness. It is important that those
involved with the response have defined tasks and
those in charge of response and relief management
have clearly defined responsibilities. For
example, before the 1906 San Francisco earthquake
the city had one of the best systems of fire
departments in the world, but fires burned in the
city for over 3 days, due partly to poor
planning. Examples of response plans at the
State and local level include the U.S. Federal
Response Plan and the California Emergency Plan.
www.fema.gov/rrr/frpwww.oes.ca.gov/OEShomeP.nsf
/All/CAEmergencyPlan/file/CEP.pdf
21Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Community/State
- Disaster Response/Recovery Planning Continued
Governments should develop response plans that
coordinate disaster response between various
government agencies and delegate responsibility
of response tasks. It is also important that the
public have confidence in the preparedness for
disasters and management of response. This can
be aided by the governments show of support for
those in charge of these areas. Recovery plans
can also be very useful in the wake of a
disaster. Disasters such as earthquakes provide
opportunities for redevelopment of damaged areas,
relocation of neighborhoods to safer sites, and
upgrading of structures, such as bridges, that
were damaged. The State should develop flexible
recovery plans which can be tailored to the
specific damage caused by a disaster.
22Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Community/State
- Public Education A good way to encourage public
preparedness for a disaster is for the public to
be educated about the danger they face and about
what they can do themselves in terms of
preparedness and response. This education can be
incorporated into general science curriculum in
schools. To educate those not in schools, a
public awareness campaign should be undertaken.
The government can take advantage of public
transportation advertisements and public service
announcements on the radio, television, and in
newspapers. The government should organize
civilian practice drills. Similar to response
drills involving police, firefighters, etc., they
will help keep the public attentive to the danger
of earthquakes.
23Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Community/State
- Maintaining Readiness/Response Capabilities To
assure that response authorities are prepared to
respond to some of the unique challenges that an
earthquake disaster may present, full response
practice drills should be performed regularly.
These drills will help determine the current
state of readiness and response capabilities and
determine what areas have the most room for
improvement. They will help prevent any
deterioration in readiness and response
capabilities as well. To provide the most
benefit, the drills should attempt to accurately
recreate what will be experienced after an
earthquake and include activities of
firefighters, police, urban search and rescue
units, emergency medical response teams, and
other personnel.
24Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Medium Term Planning (Months)
- Community/State
- Communications While communications
infrastructure is commonly a private sector
responsibility, it is imperative that response
authorities have access to communications after a
natural disaster. In some instances this access
must come at the expense of civilian access to
traditional land line and wireless
telecommunications. The government should assess
its communications need and ability to make use
of traditional land line, wireless, and radio
communications when necessary. Then, through
coordination with telecommunications companies,
this information can help assure that government
access can be maintained throughout the phases of
a disaster.
25Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
26Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Emergency Supplies
- Family Education
- Preparing the Home
27Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Emergency Supplies An earthquake usually wreaks
havoc on utilities such as electricity and
natural gas as well as both municipal and natural
artesian water supplies. Any disruption or
difficulty not only affect families directly but
can lead to secondary effects such as a
disruption in food availability. Thus it is
prudent to prepare for such events by storing an
emergency supply of food and bottled water.
These items are likely to become scarcer after an
earthquake, when they are most needed. Families
should store enough supplies for 3-4 days. By
that time, if the shortage has not been
eliminated, relief supplies should be available.
28Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Family Education As mentioned earlier, the
government should undertake a public awareness
campaign to help educate the public about the
dangers and risks associated with earthquakes.
In addition, informed individuals should assume
responsibility for educating their family and
friends about earthquakes. Each family member
should know what to expect and what to do when an
earthquake occurs. A simple way to prepare is to
perform drills for what to do in the event of an
earthquake both at home and at work. They should
include actions such as taking shelter during an
earthquake and what to do immediately afterward.
29Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Preparing the Home One of the most significant
financial costs of an earthquake is from
non-structural damage, most of which can be
prevented. Individuals should inspect their home
for potential hazards and manage them. Large
objects such as dressers, light fixtures, and
loose objects on shelves should all be secured to
something solid such as a wall.
30Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
- Readiness
- Response Planning
31Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Community/State
- Readiness There should be a continual effort to
organize earthquake awareness periods, including
the media, and to organize citizen practice
drills for duck, cover, and hold procedures. To
maintain readiness the State must continually
maintain and test response equipment and special
communications system. The coastal regions,
especially the major coastal cities, should be
prepared for possible tsunami. A system for
stand-by supplies of food, water, medicine, and
temporary shelters should be organized. Also,
the State should organize scientific and
engineering teams to be ready. Finally, the
State should establish a chain of command on all
levels of decision making.
32Earthquake Hazard
- Preparedness (Time Scale Based)
- Imminent Planning
- Community/State
- Response Planning The State should organize a
procedure on how to turn off all utilities,
industry, and transportation infrastructure.
They should also establish contact with
neighboring countries and international relief
organizations to clarify the nature and amount of
anticipated help and support.
33Earthquake Hazard
- During Earthquake (Short Phenomenon)
- Red Cross http//www.redcross.org/services/disaste
r/0,1082,0_583_,00.html - FEMA http//www.fema.gov/hazards/earthquakes/equa
kes.shtm
34Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Response from Weeks to Months
35Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
36Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Individual/Family
- Red Crosshttp//www.redcross.org/services/disaste
r/0,1082,0_583_,00.html - FEMAhttp//www.fema.gov/hazards/earthquakes/equak
es.shtm
37Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
- Response Efforts
- Infrastructure Response
- Issues of People
38Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Response Efforts After a natural disaster,
initial response activities sometimes suffer from
a lack of organization and a lack of speed.
Following response plans that have been developed
will help to organize and bring efficiency to the
response effort.Response activities of police,
firefighters, urban search and rescue, etc.
should be coordinated from a central location.
This will allow them to be efficiently directed
to where they are needed most.
39Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Response Efforts Continued As part of the
response plan a communications center should be
created. Its purpose would be to coordinate
communications and disaster information sharing
among response agencies and/or groups.Special
attention and permits should be granted to
scientific and engineering teams to inspect and
study the affected areas.
40Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Response Efforts Continued The possibility of
aftershocks can continue weeks after a large
earthquake occurs. Response centers such as
command headquarters, interim housing, temporary
medical facilities, etc. should be chosen with
this in mind. They should be located in areas
away from the earthquake if possible to avoid
additional damage.
41Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Infrastructure Response Hospitals and other
municipal buildings such as schools and mosques
will play an important role in response.
However, before the hospitals begin to accept
many earthquake injuries, or before shelters are
established in schools and mosques, the safety of
these vital buildings should be determined. They
should be inspected for earthquake damage and
whether they can survive an aftershock.
42Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Infrastructure Response Continued A strong
earthquake will likely create disruptions in area
lifelines, such as the power grid, natural gas
supply, water supply, etc. Responsibility for
these lifelines can vary between the State and
private utility companies depending on region.
However, both sides have a vested interest in
restoring the lifelines to full capacity, and
should work together to accomplish this quickly.
43Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Issues of People Earthquakes often destroy or
damage many homes, creating many displaced
persons. Shelters need to be organized to
provide interim housing while their homes can be
rebuilt. Additionally, their food and water
needs must be provided for. An important
development in disaster relief has been Mobile
Hospital units. These nearly self-sufficient
units are able to be deployed to disaster areas
and supplement the capacity of the local medical
facilities. There are certain guidelines to keep
in mind when these units are involved. They will
help get the most benefit out of the mobile
hospital units.
44Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Immediate Response
- Community/State
- Issues of People Continued After a disaster,
relief supplies from humanitarian groups such as
the Red Cross/Red Crescent will likely be
available. Management of these supplies,
including delivery, storage, distribution, etc.,
should be coordinated with supplies that the
government provides to ensure efficient use and
avoid waste.The severity of injuries will vary
depending on the magnitude of the earthquake. In
the case of a large earthquake, nearby medical
facilities will be inundated by minor injury
patients. Seriously injured patients should be
evacuated out of the disaster area to be treated
at other medical facilities. There they can be
better treated, and allow the nearby facilities
to concentrate on the many more minor injuries.
45Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
46Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Individual/Family
- Personal Safety
- Home Safety
47Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Individual/Family
- Personal Safety It should be the responsibility
of individuals to see that they receive medical
attention for health problems related to the
earthquake. This may seem like a simple task for
those with health insurance, but for those
without health insurance it can be difficult.
Since an earthquake is a natural disaster that
can impact everyone who lives in a region, the
state should, if possible, provide free medical
services to those injured.
48Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Individual/Family
- Home Safety It should also be the
responsibility of families to make sure that
their homes are safe to live in again. However
the state should inform them about this
responsibility and what is entailed in
determining their home safety. This can be
included in public information campaigns both
before and after an earthquake occurs.
49Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Individual/Family
- Community/State
- Infrastructure
- Issues of People
- Transition to Recovery
50Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Community/State
- Infrastructure As time since the earthquake
progresses, a detailed inspection should be done
on buildings that have been affected. This
should include all medium to large sized
buildings. Inspection of residential houses is
best left to the family that lives there. The
inspections will determine whether the buildings
are fit to be reoccupied.The government should
inspect and, if necessary, rebuild all lifeline
facilities and other infrastructures. The
government should remember to remain vigilant
about enforcing seismic construction/building
codes and include them when rebuilding damaged
infrastructures.
51Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Community/State
- Issues of PeopleAs mentioned earlier, the State
should attempt to provide free medical services
to anyone injured by an earthquake. This can
include care for physical injuries as well as
psychological problems associated with family
deaths, loss of property or livelihood, etc.
Often after an earthquake, displaced persons
will decide to leave the region and live with
relatives or friends until they can rebuild their
lives in their former city. Alternatively, many
people are forced to reside in disaster relief
housing until they have somewhere to return to.
Any assistance the government can provide in the
relocation process, either out of the region or
back to rebuilt homes will likely be well
received. This can come in the form of
transportation for both people and personal
belongings.
52Earthquake Hazard
- Response (Time Scale Based)
- Response from Weeks to Months
- Community/State
- Transition to Recovery Regardless of whether a
redevelopment plan has been agreed upon, the
government should make sure that buildings unable
to be reoccupied are demolished. This benefits
the general safety of the area residents. These
buildings have the potential to collapse on their
own under the right conditions, and thus present
a new hazard to the nearby community. The
government will also need to coordinate the
removal of rubble and debris of collapsed
structures.Hopefully the government had
previously prepared a recovery plan in the event
of an earthquake. Now, in light of current
earthquake damage, it is advisable to make
revisions to this plan so that it can address
specific recovery items that now must be
undertaken. The sooner that a region can
complete its structural and infrastructural
recovery, the sooner it will be able to complete
its economic and cultural recovery.
53Earthquake Hazard
- Recovery (Months to Years)
- Rebuilding
- Resettlement
- Assessment of Experience
54Selected Web References
- USGS http//www.usgs.gov
- Hazards homepage http//www.usgs.gov/themes/hazard
.html - USGS Earthquakes http//earthquake.usgs.gov/
- FEMA http//www.fema.gov
- Earthquake Hazards http//www.fema.gov/hazards/ear
thquakes/ - National Capability Building http//www.fema.gov/p
reparedness/ncb.shtm - Caltech Seismological Laboratory
http//www.gps.caltech.edu/seismo/ - Southern California Earthquake Data Center
http//www.data.scec.org/ - American Red Cross http//www.redcross.org/
- Disaster Services http//www.redcross.org/services
/disaster/ - Earthquakes http//www.redcross.org/services/disas
ter/0,1082,0_583_,00.html
55Selected Web References
- California Seismic Safety Commission
http//www.seismic.ca.gov/ - Mitigation Plan http//www.seismic.ca.gov/sscmit.h
tm - CA Governors Office of Emergency Services
- http//www.oes.ca.gov
- Earthquake Advisor http//www.earthquakeadvisor.co
m - Washington State Earthquake Hazards
- http//www.pnsn.org/INFO_GENERAL/NQT/welsome.html
56Selected Web References
- International House, Osaka Japan
http//www.ih-osaka.or.jp/i.house/index-e.html - http//www.ih-osaka.or.jp/enjoy/en/emergency/index
_en.html - Geoscientific Research Institute
http//www.gfz-potsdam.de/ - What to do if you experience an earthquake
(mitigation perspective) - http//www.gfz-potsdam.de/bib/pub/schule/earthquak
es_0312.pdf - UN Disaster Mitigation Training Programme
http//www.undmtp.org - Modules http//www.undmtp.org/modules_e.htm
57Selected Print References
- U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological
Survey, and Southern California Earthquake
Center. Putting Down Roots in Earthquake Country
p. 28, 1995 - U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological
Survey. The Next Big Earthquake p. 22, 1990 - Pan American Health Organization. Disasters
Preparedness and Mitigation in the Americas.
Washington, D.C. Issue 94. p. 8. Jan 2004. - U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development,
Office of Policy Development and Research.
HUD-1511-PDR. Preparing for the Big One
Saving lives through earthquake mitigation in Los
Angeles, California. Washington, D.C. p. 52, 1995