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Collge du Management de la Technologie CDM

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Title: Collge du Management de la Technologie CDM


1
Technology Transfers toward LDCs need more
incentives does article 66-2 succeed?
  • Pr. D.Foray
  • Prepared for the IP group meeting
  • 7 december
  • ICTSD

2
  • Article 66-2 of TRIPS agreement asked developed
    country members to provide incentives to their
    enterprises and institutions for promoting and
    encouraging transfer to LDCs
  • This is a good idea
  • 5 years after, LDCs remain unhappy with how rich
    countries fullfill their obligations
  • What do show the country reports?
  • Some foods for further discussion

3
This is a good idea
  • Incentives matter when activities exhibit
    potentially high social return but negligible
    expected private profitability, there is a need
    for providing  more incentives 
  • Historical precedents show that it may work
  • Orphan diseases
  • Neglected diseases

4
The case of PPPs to support RD in the area of
neglected diseases
  • For the last four years, the number of neglected
    disease drug projects has increased significantly
    a sign of deep-seat structural change
  • Standard theory does not predict such outcome
    whats going on?
  • Companies recognize the value of RD operations
    of far smaller (or no) commercial returns
  • They commit ressources on a  no profit no loss
    basis 
  • Centrality of cost containment (and therefore
    PPPs role) to sustain the model

5
LDCs frustrations
  • At the TRIPS council of 2007, LDCs complained
    that the kind of technical assistance featured in
    the country reports do not lead to  real TTs 
    (or at least it is not clear!)

6
What do the country reports show?
  • These reports are very difficult to read and
    assess
  • Very little quantitative data and measurement of
    importance, size and economic effect of TTs
  • Difficult to differentiate between activities
    that are coming under the general  ODA like
    obligations  and those that have been launched
    as a specific response to the 66-2 provision
  • Qualitative interviews in Bern tend to show that
    governments would have strong difficulties to
    draft reports including only 66-2 oriented
    activities
  • Very little (no) description of  best (new)
    practices  in the incentive mechanisms
  • Hard to know whether the private sector is really
    responding to new incentive mechanisms
  • Series of  success stories  and cases

7
What do the country reports show?
  • Interesting (but not quantitative) information on
    the kind of areas TTs are targeted to
  • Lets have a look at the Swiss report on the
    implementation of article 66-2, WTO, 1st October
    2007
  • Warning!

8
What kind of areas are selected in the case of CH?
  • Export oriented goods facing deteriorating terms
    of trade TTs here do not need much incentives
    since the positive effect of efficiency
    improvement are captured mainly by the import
    countries (cacao, tea, coffee, cashew nuts,
    fruits,etc..)
  • Vital needs TTs would need very strong
    incentives to be done by private firms, but most
    are done by the public sector (neglected
    diseases, educational project)
  • Infrastructures again strong incentives are
    needed and most projects involve public
    production or public procurement (water
    production, treatment and distribution, bridges
    and roads), but do such projects promote TTs?
  • Simple traditional capital goods and services to
    meet a true demand for technology to support
    entrepreneurial activities targeting local needs
    this should be the real target of 66-2

9
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10
What do the country report show?
  • No surprise!
  • Export oriented areas are the only areas where
    the need for further incentives is not strong
  • The main beneficiaries of efficiency improvement
    in these areas are the firms importing the goods
  • Since these goods are characterized by
    deteriorating terms of trade, successfull TTs are
    likely to worsen the economic situation of the
    considered sector in the LDCs!
  • This will be the case if i) the demand is price
    inelastic, and ii) the same activities are
    improved in different LDCs. As a result, the
    total value of the marketed commodity falls and
    the countries have reallocated resources to an
    activity that is yielding fewer returns as time
    passes

11
What do the country reports show?
  • No surprise!
  • TTs addressing vital needs are mainly originating
    from public sectors
  • Those TTs are important but are not likely to
    create positive entrepreneurial dynamics in the
    LDC

12
  • No surprise!
  • Infrastructure projects are done through public
    production and public procurement
  • Verly little information to know whether private
    firms contracting for such projects are really
    transferring technologies

13
What do the country report show?
  • Very few cases of TTs in which the private sector
    responds to a local demand for technology as an
    indispensable ingredient for the development of
    entrepreneurial activities
  • Local needs (domestic consumption) ?
    entrepreneurial opportunities ? demand for
    technology ? transfer from a developed country

14
  • The aims of advancing science and technology in
    LDCs are
  • Modest (reasonable) gains in the areas of export
    commodities, and
  • Immodest (extraordinary) gains in the areas of
    non-traded goods and goods for domestic capacity
    building and consumption
  • National responses to 66-2 seem to do just the
    opposite!

15
Foods for thoughts
  • First, the locus of decisions concerning the
    areas for TTs is in the foreign assistance bodies
    and, therefore the decisions are clearly
    sub-optimal
  • for example there is a premium for projects
    related to trade policy vis-à-vis projects
    related to innovation policy
  • Second, most of the projects in the list do not
    need further incentives they are either
    profitable activities for the private sector of
    developed countries or done by the public sector
    - meaning that most projects do not comply with
    article 66-2
  • Third, the country reports should be more
    transparent and informative on what are the TTs
    undertaken by the private sector (and backed by
    new incentives) to meet a particular (local)
    demand for technologies in order to address local
    needs through entrepreneurial activities

16
Suggestion
  • Developing a typology of TTs areas that developed
    countries should use to write their reports

17
Foods for throught
  • A danger of splitting development programs in two
    logics
  • A humanitarian logic no hope for return, no
    attempt to help the development of domestic
    innovation system development assistance only
    address vital needs, transfer of knowledge for
    passive consumption and do not involve strongly
    TTs as a learning process
  • An economic logic development assistance address
    trade policy in LDCs and innovation policy in
    catching up economy very nice cases in CH (Clean
    production centers in latin America that involve
    all components of a system of innovation)
  • LDCs are mainly affected by the humanitarian
    logic and the economic-trade policy oriented -
    logic
  • Current debate in CH

18
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19
  • In CH, institutional division of labour between
  • SECO (economic department) that will only address
    emerging economies
  • economic logic/innovation policy/strong
    commitment of CH private sector)
  • DDC (foreign affair) that will target the poorest
  • humanitarian logic, private sector not concerned
    (or only through public procurement)
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