V. Smil,

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V. Smil, Energy in World History

• Fundamentally, no civilization on Earth can be
  anything but a solar society p. 157
• Whereas pre-industrial societies tapped
  virtually inexhaustible (solar) energy flows,
  modern civilization depends on extracting finite
  fossil energy that could not be replenished even
  in 100 million years. p. 157
• Unlike its predecessors, fossil-fueled
  civilization cannot last thousands of years.
  p.158

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Six Stages of the Energy Crisis

• Between 1955 and 1971, demand in the U.S. was
  outstripping supply
• 1972 rise in oil prices OPEC
• 1973-74 Embargo and panic
• 1975-78 -- President Ford focus almost
  entirely on supply no long term policy
• 1979 Iran and a Second Oil Crisis
• 1980-84 Regan Era OPEC overproduction and new
  sources

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Nye pp.222-3 The oil shock of 1973-74 was a
symptom, not a cause. The shortages revealed the
energy dependence and the vulnerability that the
United States had been building up for decades.
The high-energy middle-class standard of living
was not a victim of the energy crisis it was the
source of the crisis. Compared with equally
affluent Europeans, Americans used roughly twice
as much energy per capita. Half the difference
was directly attributable to their transportation
systems, and much of the rest was due to their
preference for widely spaced detached houses.
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We will mine more, drill more, cut more
timber."--Secretary of the Interior James Watt
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World energy use
Total
Coal
400 Quadrillion Btu
Geothermal, wind, solar, etc.
Gas
Biomass
RE (13.4)
Nuclear
Hydro
Oil (34.9)
World 84 million barrels/day US 21 million
barrels/day
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U.S. Energy Consumption
Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy
Outlook 2006
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U.S. Energy Production
Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy
Outlook 2006
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Electricity Generation
Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy
Outlook 2006
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Fertilizer Production Efficiency
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Energy and Crop Yield
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Turning Petroleum into Food or Fuel
Frank Moore Black Pillow (1996)
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Cereal Shortfall
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"Our ignorance is not so vast as our failure to
use what we know."
M. King HubbertOctober 5th, 1903
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