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Title: CEIBS Spring 2002 Author: Andreas Weigend Last modified by: Andreas Weigend Created Date: 8/20/2001 8:11:04 PM Document presentation format – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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1
Andreas S. Weigend, PhD?????
SJTU Dec 2004
E-Business (7) Markets???? (7) ?????
  • Content
  • Market size for B2B (Business to Business)
    B2B(?????)????
  • Price-setting mechanisms (catalogs, auctions,
    exchanges)????(????????)
  • Pricing models for operating the market????
  • Reputation management????
  • Supplier adoption, quality assurance, dispute
    resolution,??????????
  • Example eBay? eBay

2
B2B Commerce and B2B MarketsB2B???B2B??
  • B2B commerce Purchase and sale of goods and
    services between businessesB2B?????????????
  • Auto parts????
  • SDRAM chips SDRAM??
  • Telecom bandwidth????
  • Natural gas
  • ???
  • Office supplies????
  • B2B markets Internet-based markets for B2B
    commerce B2B????????B2B????

3
B2B Markets Some History B2B????????
  • Before B2B markets EDI (electronic data
    interchange), close bilateral relationships
  • Pre-1998 Conventional Internet-based commerce by
    some leading computer and networking product
    companies
  • Cisco, Dell, Sun,
  • 1998 Independent (VC-backed) markets emerge, to
    connect buyers and sellers over the Web
  • Chemdex, VerticalNet, MetalSite
  • 1999 Specific buyers and sellers launch their
    own B2B markets
  • AutoExchange (Ford, buyer), Polymerland (GE,
    seller)
  • 2000 Participants join forces to announce
    industry-sponsored marketplaces
  • Role of independents becomes software vendors
  • 2002 7 penetration
  • ?B2B??????????????????
  • 1998?????????????????????????
  • ????????
  • 1998???(????????)????,?????????????
  • Chemdex, VerticalNet, MetalSite
  • 1999???????????????B2B??
  • AutoExchange (??,??), Polymerland (????,??)
  • 2000????????????????????,???????????
  • Role of independents becomes software vendors
  • 2002? 7???

4
B2B????(09/01) B2B Market Projections (09/01)
Total B-to-B Commerce B2B????
Percentage of Total Penetration????
5
B2B MarketsB2B????
???
3,000
????
????
???????
????
2,500
??
?????
???
???????
2,000
????
??
Value of B2B transactions online
(B) ??B2B????(10???)
????
1,500
????????
1,000
500
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Source Forrester Research, 2000
6
Percent of total trade in different industries
(U.S.)????????????(??)
????????
????
????????
?????
???
Source Jupiter Internet B-to-B Commerce Model,
6/00 (US only)
7
Perceived Importance and Actual Trade Percentage
B2B?????????????
How important is online B2B eCommerce
Of your total trade, how much is done using the
Internet?
??B2B????????
???????????????
Sellers
Buyers
??
??
gt50
- 4
Critical
37
32
22
????
73
67
1-50
Very
50
18
18
??
??
23
12
important
Percent of
????
18
18
??
trade done
12
Important
???
10
71
on the Net
27
32
???
Not
?
0
3
important
46
None
02/2000
2002 (est.) 2002(??)
7
02/2000
2002 (??)
2002 (est.)
Source Forrester Research, 2000
8
Summary of B2B Market Size??
  • Penetration ???
  • Worldwide, 510 of entire trade volume done
    online ????????5-10??????
  • In US, 30 in some sectors (computers,
    defense)???,????????30(??????)
  • Characteristics of early adopters ????????
  • Internet infrastructure companies (e.g., CISCO)
    and/or highly standardized parts (automotive)
    ?????????(???)?/?????????(??)
  • B2B is 90 95 of all EB
    B2B????????90-95
  • Next ??????
  • Pricing of goods (catalogs, auctions, exchanges)
    ?????(????????)
  • Pricing for providing market place ???????
  • Supporting services ?????

9
Type of product traded???????
  • Operating (indirect) inputs??(??)??
  • Used for MRO (maintenance, repair, operations)
    ??MRO(????????)
  • Do not serve as direct inputs into a production
    process ????????????
  • Example Office supplies?????
  • Lower volume, higher frequency and of
    transactions ?????,?????,???
  • Commodities??
  • Electricity, oil, bandwidth, natural
    gas,????????????
  • Direct inputs????
  • Typically a manufacturing input????????
  • Used directly in the production
    process????????
  • Example auto parts, memory chips??????????
  • Higher volume, lower number of transactions
    ?????,?????

10
Purchasing forecasts????
Source Forrester Research, 2000
11
Purchasing forecasts
2000??????????????????2002???

????
Based on 50 companies responding
???????50???
  • eMarketplace purchases in 2002

15
????
12
8
6
0-25
26-50
51-75
76-100
Based on 41 companies responding
???????41???
  • eMarketplace purchases in 2002

18
????
14
6
2
0-25
26-50
51-75
76-100
Based on 40 companies responding
???????40???
Source Forrester Research, 2000
12
Focus of Market????
  • Horizontal markets????
  • Span a variety of industries??????
  • Tend to be better suited for operating
    inputs??????????
  • Vertical markets????
  • Specialized in one specific industry???????????
  • Likely to be for direct manufacturing
    inputs???????????
  • Possibly integrated into supply-chain of
    buyers/seller
    ????????/??????
  • Possibly designed to suit the specific needs of
    the industry ??????????????
  • Other types of market focus?????????
  • Product focus bandwidth, natural gas,
    electricity
    ?????????????
  • Regional focus????

13
- Price-setting mechanisms (for goods)????(??)
- Catalogs, auctions, exchanges ????????-
Pricing models for operating the market?????????
14
Pricing structures????
  • Distinct from market mechanism???????
  • Price of providing the market vs. price of
    product traded
    ??????????????
  • Is providing the market an information good?
    ?????????????
  • Transaction-related fees??????
  • Per transaction, per bundle of transactions, of
    savings ????,?????,?????
  • Common in commodities markets??????????
  • Membership fees???
  • Fixed periodic fees, unlimited transactions??????,
    ?????
  • Other models????
  • Advertising??
  • Fees for related commerce services????????
  • Revenues from information sales??????

15
Market Mechanisms????
  • The market mechanism determines the rules based
    on which the price of the goods being traded is
    set
  • ??????????????????
  • Method of determining price???????
  • Frequency of price changes???????
  • The mechanism is one crucial determinant of
    market liquidity and efficiency??????????????????
    ????
  • Some examples of possible B2B mechanisms
    ?????B2B????
  • Catalogs of fixed prices??????
  • Auctions of various flavors???????
  • Exchanges (double auctions, clearing
    houses)??(????????)
  • Dynamic bid-ask matching????-????
  • Dealer markets?????
  • Negotiated prices??

16
Mechanism Catalog????
  • Prices are pre-determined and listed?????????
  • Different buyers could have different price
    views
    ?????????????
  • Market does not perform a price-creation
    function?????????
  • Market should provide the following
    functions?????????
  • Aggregating buyers and sellers???????
  • Detailing rich product specification
    information???????????
  • Standardized product specifications???????
  • Content management tools for vendors??????????
  • Well-suited for B2B marketplaces???B2B??
  • With a wide variety of low-priced
    products??????????
  • Where buyers tend to buy small quantities
    frequently?????????
  • Where the benefits of emergent prices outweigh
    the costs ??????
    ??????
  • Indirect inputs????

17
Catalogs Example????
18
Auction Heinz in China uses Freemarkets
  • "Procurement has been a back-room process
    essentially unchanged since the days when Henry
    Heinz traveled from farm to farm to contract with
    growers for their crops. Today, it is an exciting
    new, global frontier for Heinz that is being
    transformed on a global basis by modern
    technology and thinking."-William R. Johnson,
    Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer
    of H.J. Heinz Company
  • Reverse auction
  • Open, but anonymous bids, 30 minutes
  • ROI?
  • Cost savings?
  • Better prices / more efficient markets

19
Auction Another example from China?????????
  • Why not make it an e-market? ????????????????
  • Buy the software for the auction or outsource as
    ASP ?????????ASP????
  • Expect to obtain higher price? ??????????
  • Pro and con of e-market ????????
  • Pro larger reach, less overhead ?????,?????
  • Con Less social effect of bidding it up, fun is
    part of it, participants are willing to pay for
    it
    ???????,???????,???????
  • Example Mobile telephone numbers ??????
  • Ascending prices ????
  • Highest surviving bid / Last man standing gets
    the number ?????/?????????
  • Currently People flying to the auction to attend
    in-person ?????????????

20
Mechanism One-sided auction??????
  • Prices are set based on bids of one set of market
    participants (either buyers or sellers, typically
    buyers)
    ????????????(?????,?????)??????
  • Bids ??
  • Ascend vs descend ?????
  • Visible vs sealed ??????
  • Winner pays ????
  • What winner had bid vs the highest losing bid
    ???????????
  • If several items???????
  • Everybody pays the same price vs each what each
    had bid ???????????????????
  • Typically used for excess inventory sales, spot
    needs ??????????,????

21
The Winners Curse?????
22
The Winners Curse?????
23
One-sided auctions Example
??????
24
One-sided auctions Example ??????
25
Choice of Auction???????
  • Some details ??????
  • English auctions tend to generate the highest
    prices for sellers (for a variety of
    reasons)???????????????(??????)
  • Dutch (descending price) auctions seem to work
    well for perishable non-commodity products like
    airline seats, hotel rooms???(????)??????????????
    ???????????
  • When buyers are averse to risk, first-price
    sealed bid auctions lead to higher prices than
    second-price???????????,???????????????????????
  • When the estimated valuation distributions of
    ones buyers have??????????
  • Same shape, different range use
    sealed-bid????,???????????
  • Same range, different shape use
    ascending????,???????????

26
Mechanism Exchange????
  • Two-sided (double) auctions??(??)??
  • Buyers and sellers submit bids?????????
  • Limit prices, quantities???????
  • Market-maker periodically chooses price that
    clears the market (at which demand supply)
    ????????????(????)???
  • Benefits??
  • Price emerges from the market, reflecting
    supply and demand at that point

    ???????,????????????
  • ? Price discovery ????
  • Prices are more visible?????
  • Issues??
  • Requires high volumes to be effective????????
  • ? Liquidity ???
  • Requires highly standardized products being
    traded ????????????

27
Exchanges Example????
28
Arbinet-thexchange www.arbinet.com
  • Deep vertical marketplace
  • Created and operates the spot market for voice
    minutes
  • Compiles and distributes market data
  • Develops the routing intelligence
  • Used by telcos to buy, sell and manage wholesale
    voice traffic

29
Other mechanisms used????
  • Reverse auctions????
  • Sellers bid for buyers???????
  • Matching systems????
  • Exchange-like two-sided bids?????????
  • Buyers and sellers directly matched based on
    complex preference profiles??????????????????
  • Niche technology vendors OptiMark???????OptiMar
    k
  • Richer language for orders in finance

30
Benefits of B2B Markets B2B?????
  • Operational efficiencies????
  • Lower ordering costs (reduced by an order of
    magnitude) ??????(????????)
  • Shorter order cycles, flexibility of more
    frequent orders ??????,???????
  • Standardized product specifications???????
  • Tighter supply-chain integration????????
  • Price efficiencies????
  • Larger set of trading partners???????
  • More efficient methods of setting prices????????

31
Benefits of B2B Markets B2B?????
  • Expanded markets????
  • Ability to sell surplus product
    inventory??????????
  • Ability to create markets for surplus
    capacity?????????? ??
  • Lower search costs??????
  • Easier to identify trading partners?????????
  • Access to smaller trading partners????????????
  • Easier to comparison shop?????????
  • Increased transparency ?????

32
Supplier Adoption Incentives
???????
  • B2B markets have many potential benefits to
    suppliers ??????,B2B?????????
  • Operational??
  • Improved supply-chain management???????
  • Superior production planning and scheduling
    ????????????
  • Lower inventory, faster inventory
    turns????,??????
  • Financial??
  • Faster payment processing??????
  • Superior cash flows??????
  • Other??
  • Access to broader base of buyers????????
  • Contract standardization?????
  • Superior marketing information?????????

33
Supplier Adoption Incentives
???????
  • However, there are possible deterrents to
    suppliers
    ??,????????????
  • Fear of product commoditization???????
  • Listing fees, investments into content management
    ???????????
  • Marketplaces should offer incentives to join
    depending on
    ????????????,????
  • Estimated level of natural benefits to supplier
    ??????????????
  • Strategic importance of supplier?????????
  • Dominant/preferred supplier of commodity inputs

    ??????????/??????
  • Supplier of operationally critical direct inputs

    ????????????????

34
Supplier Adoption Incentives
???????
  • Fears of commoditization could pan out in at
    least two ways (both possibly favoring adoption
    by supplier)
    ???????????????????(???
    ????????????)
  • If there are indeed well-regarded smaller
    substitute suppliers, a larger supplier may lose
    business by staying out of a market

    ?????????????????,????????
    ????????
  • If, on the other hand, the suppliers product has
    few competitive threats, joining does not
    commoditize the product

    ?????????,??????????
    ????,??????????

35
Choice of Market Mechanism???????
  • Selected guidelines for choosing market
    mechanisms ?????????????
  • Catalogs High product complexity, frequent
    trade, low variability in supply and demand
    ???????????????????
  • True markets Uniform, divisible,
    well-understood, high-volume, frequently traded,
    perishable
    ????????????????????????
    ???
  • Possible products oil, gas, electricity,
    bandwidth, memory, steel,
    ??????????????????????
  • Auctions If a true market isnt feasible, high
    supply or demand variability, infrequent trade,
    large volume per order????????????,????????,??
    ???,???????

36
Reputation management????
37
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • When a business trades with more
    partners?????????
  • Better prices, availability, and so
    on?????????????
  • but lower learning about reputation for
    reliability from repeated transactions
    ????????????????????
  • Necessitates (standardized) method for sharing
    partner-quality information??????????????(???)??
  • From the buyers point of view????????
  • Does this supplier represent quality accurately,
    deliver on time, ship the right products

    ????????????,????,????
  • From the sellers point of view????????
  • Does this buyer have the money, will payment be
    on time???????,??????
  • Q Should these reputation services be
    marketplace specific or shared across multiple
    marketplaces??????????????????????????

38
Reputation systems????
  • Problem What merchant can a buyer trust?
    ??????????????
  • Comparison shopping suffers from a similar
    problem as search There are many possible
    vendors returned, who to buy from?

    ????????????????????????,????????
  • Since shopbots reduce search costs, this problem
    surfaces quickly ????????????,???????
    ???????
  • Solution Reputation systems, based on community
    feedback????????????????????
  • Explicit ??
  • Reviews, ratings ??,??
  • Implicit (through actions) ??(????)

Problem of fraud Need to build statistical
models to filter out irregularities.????????????
,????????
39
Reputation systems leverage community?????????
  • Reputation systems address the question whether I
    can trust??????????????????
  • The product? ???
  • The buyer????
  • The seller? ???
  • Who provides the reputation system? ????????
  • The comparison site or the marketplace
    itself????????????
  • Specialized firms from the outside? ???????


40
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • Some desirable qualities of a reputation service
    ?????????
  • Simplicity Understanding ratings does not
    require deep analysis??????????????
  • Appropriate basis for rating Provides
    information that is pertinent to the
    buyer/sellers needs (delivery, payment
    timeliness, product quality, support,)
    ????????????/???????????(???
    ?????????????)
  • Span of coverage Covers as many potential
    trading partners as possible?????????????????
  • Predictive Is able to generalize across partners
    (thereby increasing the depth of information
    beyond merely the transaction histories of the
    participants)
    ?????????????????(?????????,???????????????)

41
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • Example??
  • Rating services for B2B marketplaces B2B??????
  • Subscription service for buyers, rather than
    being marketplace-specific??????,?????????
  • Focus is on supplier ratings?????????
  • Can enable companies to identify areas for supply
    chain improvement
  • Selected products????
  • Supplier Performance Review???????
  • Buyer Insight?????
  • Partners Dun Bradstreet, Deloitte Touche
    ??????????

42
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • Example??

1.????(???????)
??
????
???
(?)
??????
??
??
????
??
?25?
????
??
8742/??????
SIC/????
2.???????
??????????????????????,?????????????????????????
????????????0-100,????????
SIC?????
????
??
??
?????????
8742/???????
43
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • Example??

???????
???
??????????????????
??
????????????????????
?????
????????/?????????????????
?????
????/?????????????
??
??????????/??????????
????
?????????????
??
?????????????????????
????
44
Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
4.????
  • Example??

?????????????????????????????????????????????????,
?????0-10?,???????9-10,?????5-8,?????0-4????
????????????
????
???
??
?????
?????
??
????
??
????
???
????
????
????
45
Quality Assurance Product Inspection??????
  • Services to ensure the quality of products
    ordered (based on inspection rather than
    transaction history)???????????????(?????????????)
  • Examples of services????
  • Order inspection quantity, workmanship,
    function, appearance, color, size specifications.
    ??????????????????????
    ?
  • Product performance testing??????
  • Product safety testing???????
  • Factory/site inspection and approval, EHS
    compliance, random sampling of products,??/??????
    ?,??????????,??????,
  • Examples of vendors?????
  • Bureau Veritas
  • Intertek Testing Services Intertek????
  • SGS OnSite

46
Effects on market in China
  • Higher number of attributes (in addition to
    price, e.g., quality, timeliness) ? better
    matches between buyers and suppliers
  • Increased transparency allows us to get those
    attributes we care for
  • This lecture focused on external processes
  • Need standards

47
Other supporting services?????Market
ownership?????
48
Other supporting services?????
  • Trade processes which were relationship-specific
    have to be provided and supported (independently
    or by marketplace)???????(???????)?????????
  • Quality Assurance??
  • Product Inspection, quality guarantees,
    counter-party insurance????????????????
  • Partner Credit rating, credit checking
  • ?????????????
  • Payment and settlement?????
  • Loans, letters of credit, open credit lines,
    transaction settlement, escrow, payment
    transfers,?????????????????????????????
  • Logistics??
  • Delivery guarantees, packing and shipping,
    shipping integration???????????????
  • After-sale????
  • Returns processing, dispute resolution ????,????

49
Financing, Payment and Settlement????????
  • Financing for transactions????
  • Loans, letters of credit, open credit lines
    ??????????????
  • Reduction in payment risk??????
  • Credit checks, insurance against non-payment,
    escrow
  • ???????????????
  • Transaction settlement ????
  • Example??
  • Joint venture between AIG and DB AIG?DB??
  • Provides a suite of services, including credit
    checks, trade credit insurance, payment and
    settlement, product/cargo inspection??????,??????
    ????????????????/????
  • Other examples TradeSafe, Actrade, eCredit.com,
    Escrow.com (Fidelity), SierraCities,
    TradeCard???? TradeSafe, Actrade, eCredit.com,
    Escrow.com (Fidelity), SierraCities, TradeCard

50
Dispute Resolution????
  • In a B2B marketplace ?B2B??
  • Trade disputes are more likely when one trades
    with a larger number of less frequent trading
    partners ?????????????????????????
    ?
  • Trade disputes may be more complex to resolve
    (due to lowering of natural geographic trading
    constraints) ???????????????(???????
    ?????)
  • A well-defined dispute resolution infrastructure
    is crucial for the efficient functioning of the
    market
    ?????????????????????
  • Current options ????
  • AAA eCommerce Dispute Resolution Protocol
  • AAA??????????
  • ICC International Court of Arbitration ICC
    ??????
  • SquareTrade

51
B2B Market Ownership B2B?????
  • Typical ownership structures????????
  • Owned/sponsored by an industry consortium
    ????????/??
  • Owned by a neutral third-party ?????????
  • Owned by a single buyer or seller ???????????
  • Other structures? ?????
  • Ownership issues?????
  • Is the owner affected by the price in the market?
    ?????????????
  • Does the market requires liquidity to succeed?
    ????????????
  • Do the participants need to adopt and deeply
    integrate with the market in order to benefit
    from it?
    ??????????????????????????
  • Does the market owner exclusively owns the
    transaction and order flow information???????????
    ???????????

52
Ownership Independent ?????
  • Venture-backed third parties who does not
    transact in the market????????????????????
  • Focus Vertical/Horizontal????/??
  • Product Varied initially, evolving to indirect
    inputs or commodities????????,????????????
  • Mechanisms Multiple ????
  • Represented first wave of B2B markets
    ??B2B???????
  • Advantages??
  • Natural incentive to choose most efficient
    mechanism
    ????????????
  • No vested interests ?????
  • Web/technology savvy (sometimes leading to new
    market technologies)??/?????(??????????)
  • Examples????

53
Ownership Industry-Sponsored ???????
  • Multiple industry participants collaborate to set
    up their own B2B market
    ?????????????,???????B2B??
  • Focus Vertical ????
  • Product Direct inputs (typically) ??????(????)
  • Mechanisms Multiple (mostly catalog and auction,
    sometimes exchange)
    ????(????????,?????)
  • Advantages??
  • Born with critical mass/liquidity??????????/???
  • Industry-specific knowledge??????
  • Deeper supply-chain integration with participants

    ?????????????
  • Deeper pockets ????????
  • Examples????

54
B2B Market Information B2B????
  • The move from isolated buyer-seller relationships
    to a common B2B marketplace results
    in??????-?????????B2B?????
  • Availability of composite transaction
    information?????????
  • Better supply and demand information???????
  • Directly through order flow, willingness to pay
    ????????,?????
  • Indirectly through price signals ????????
  • Some issues and implications???????
  • Valuable increase in efficiency through aggregate
    statistics
    ??????????
  • Superior supply planning via aggregated
    downstream demand information???????????????????
  • Higher transparency of competitor information
    ????????????
  • Possible unfair inequity in information
    access??????????????
  • Possibility of misuse of by powerful market
    participants
    ??????????????

55
B2B Market ConsolidationB2B????
  • Expect 100-200 marketplaces (mostly vertically
    focused) by 2003?

56
B2B????
  • Expect 100-200 marketplaces (mostly vertically
    focused) by 2003?
  • ???2003??100-200???(??????????)?

1,200
????????(10?)
900
eMarketplace
trade in the US
600
(billions)
  • 300

Online B2B volume (B) ??B2B???
??
??
??
  • 0

2001
2002
2003
?
?
?
????????
?????
?????
??
?????
?
??????
?????
?
?????????
?
?
????????
???????? ??
????
?
?????????
?
?
????
57
B2B Market Consolidation B2B????
  • Why is consolidation likely????????
  • B2B markets display strong network effects
    B2B????????????
  • More buyers -gt more value to each seller, and
    vice versa ????? -gt
    ????????????,????
  • Scale implies more efficient pricing of products
    traded
    ???????????????
  • Benefits from pooling of demand/supply
    information
    ????????????
  • B2B markets could have high switching costs
    B2B?????????
  • High upfront costs integration investment by
    participants
    ???????????????
  • Brand-specific training in process/mechanisms
    ???/???????????
  • Information and databases product/participant
    content, reputation and transaction
    histories????????/?????????????
  • Deterrents to consolidation????????
  • Consolidation of B2B markets raises antitrust
    concerns on at least two fronts
    B2B????????????????????
  • Collusion via information sharing
    agreements????????????
  • Lowered competitiveness from exclusion????????????
    ?

58
B2B Markets Antitrust Issues B2B????????
  • Collusion via information sharing
    agreements????????????
  • Higher prices (signaling, output
    collusion)????(????????)
  • Inefficient standardization of transaction terms
    ????????
  • Industry/agreement aspects that increase
    concerns
    ???????????/????
  • High concentration/entry barriers????/?????
  • Information transparency between competitors
    (rather than buyers and sellers)???(????????)?????
    ???
  • Nature of information shared???????
  • Price and output vs. other????????
  • Direct vs. indirect goods, strategic significance
    ???????,?????
  • Age (past/present/future) and granularity??(??/??/
    ??)???
  • Current alternate sources of this
    information???????????

59
B2B Markets Antitrust Issues B2B????????
  • Selective exclusion of buyers and/or
    suppliers?????????/????
  • Industry-wide consortia may wield enough power to
    favor certain participants over
    others???????????????
  • Range of possibilities selective rebates,
    selective access to partners, higher fees,
    outright exclusion???????????????????????????????
  • But exclusion is not necessarily
    anti-competitive????????????
  • Harm to competitors vs. harm to
    competition??????????????
  • Examples AP vs. the US, Alaskan Airlines vs. UAL

    ????????????????????
  • Questions that clarify anti-competitive
    concerns?????????????
  • Are there substitute channels or alternative
    markets to the B2B in question???B2B?????????
  • Does the exclusion in fact raise the prices for
    the incumbent participants in the
    B2B?????????B2B????????????
  • Are there efficiency benefits from exclusion
    (e.g. avoiding free-riding and increasing
    incentives for investment)??????????????(?????????
    ??????)

60
eBay
61
Online auctions Oct 2002 Forrester
  • By 2002, 21 of online North American households
    had made an online auction purchase
  • eBay
  • 42 million registered users
  • Sells a pair of shoes every 20 seconds
  • Retailers move merchandise to marketplaces
  • Home Depot, Sears, IBM, Motorola use eBay to
    liquidate
  • Keys to auction success
  • Retailers use eBay to recover some costs for
    non-sold merchandise
  • Portals will lose these marketing dollars and
    need to rethink their strategies
  • Vendors keep innovating
  • Channel Advisor Control and block deadbeat
    bidders at start
  • NCR Teradata Provide analytics to identify
    patterns of offenders

62
Online auctions expected to grow to US55 billion
by 2007
63
eBay vs Alibaba, GlobalSourceseBay??????????
  • Transactions ??
  • Vs catalogue ???
  • Price discovery ? increases market efficiency
    ???????????
  • Vs fixed prices ?????
  • Price discovery ????
  • Multiple kinds of auctions ??????
  • Payment of eBay eBay?????
  • Insertion price (percentage of price) ????(?????)
  • Network externalities ?????
  • Liquidity ???
  • Switching cost ????
  • Reputation / History ??/??
  • Both buyers and sellers! ????!
  • Cognitive Lock-In ????
  • Registration ??
  • Initially C2C, and also B2C and B2B ???C2C?B2C?B2B

64
Discussion??
  • Overview??
  • Neutral marketplace for consumer-to-consumer
    trade??????????????
  • Founded 1995 as a market for Pez dispensers
    ???1995?,??PEZ?????
  • By the end of 2000?2000??
  • 22 million users, 27B sales volume
    2200???,270??????
  • 430M revenues, 300M gross profits, 48M net
    profit
    4.3??????3??????4800??????

????
??? (????)
65
Discussion??
  • Multiple market mechanisms ??????
  • English auctions (with reserve prices, minimum
    bid)????(???????)
  • Fixed prices (Half.com, Buy It Now,) ????
    (Half.com, Buy It Now,)
  • Multiple-item Dutch auctions (single-bid, all
    winners pay lowest winning bid)?????????(????,??
    ???????????)
  • Pricing structure????
  • Insertion fee based on minimum bid or reserve
    price ??????????????
  • 0.01 - 9.99 0.30
  • 10.00 - 24.99 0.55
  • 25.00 - 49.99 1.10
  • 50.00 - 199.99 2.20
  • 200.00 and up 3.30
  • Additional fees for featured listings, placement
    etc.????????????

66
Discussion??
  • Supporting services?????
  • Automatic fraud insurance (up to 200)?????
    (??200)
  • Payment systems????
  • Escrow?????
  • Dispute resolution ????
  • Authentication ????

67
Discussion??
  • Quality Assurance Trading Partner??????
  • eBays Feedback Forum records transaction
    histories of all its buyers and sellers
    eBay????????????????????
  • 1, 0,-1 along with free-text comments
    1,
    0,-1,???????????

??7?
??1??
??6??
??????
??
??
??
??
??
????
68
Discussion??
  • Quality Assurance Trading Partner
  • ??????
  • How much accountability should a market like eBay
    take for?eBay??????????????
  • Product quality/authenticity?????/????
  • Trading partner reliability?????????

69
Appendix
  • Web services
  • Cost drivers

70
Web Services
  • Web Services
  • - available over Internet
  • - uses standardized XML messaging
  • - not tied to any one operating system or
    language
  • Key idea Application-centric Web
  • XML eXtensible Markup Language
  • SOAP Simple Object Access Protocol
  • UDDI Universal Description, Discovery, and
    Integration

71
B2B Markets Cost Drivers
Indirect costs
  • Price volatility
  • Quality uncertainty

72
B2B??????
??
??
??
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3

??????????
???????????
????????????
?????????????
??????
??/??
????
  • ????????
  • ??????
  • ?????
  • ????
  • ??????
  • ????????
  • ????
  • ????
  • ?????

???

??????
  • ??????
  • ???
  • ??????

??????
  • ???
  • ??????
  • ???

???????
  • ????

????
  • ????
  • ??????
  • ?????
  • ??????
  • ????

??
  • ??????
  • ??????
  • ?????

73
B2B Markets Cost Drivers B2B??????
  • Three categories of buyers???????
  • Baseline buyers Recurring indirect purchases
    ???????????
  • Spot-market dabblers spot direct purchases
    ?????????????
  • Enterprise enablers recurring direct purchases
    ???????????
  • Baseline buyers?????

???
??
????
6
4
????
??
27
??
22
??
??
1
65
??
??
69
6
Source Forrester Research, 2001
74
B2B Markets Cost Drivers B2B??????
  • Three categories of buyers???????
  • Baseline buyers Recurring indirect purchases
    ???????????
  • Spot-market dabblers spot direct purchases
    ?????????????
  • Enterprise enablers recurring direct purchases
    ???????????
  • Spot-market dabblers???????

???
??
9
12
????
????
??
29
??
23
??
54
??
??
1
59
??
13
Source Forrester Research, 2001
75
B2B Markets Cost Drivers B2B??????
  • Three categories of buyers???????
  • Baseline buyers Recurring indirect purchases
    ???????????
  • Spot-market dabblers spot direct purchases
    ?????????????
  • Enterprise enablers recurring direct purchases
    ???????????
  • Enterprise enablers?????

???
????
????
15
??
??
??
39
33
46
??
16
??
1
??
??
21
29
Source Forrester Research, 2001
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