Scenario Workshops Summary

1
Scenario Workshops Summary
2
Economy

• Scale of analysis vs. scale of practical
  intervention / problems
• Pure economic approach sort-sighted approaches
  vs. other values
• But dont ask the models to do everything
• Competitiveness approach in CEEC due to lack of
  other alternatives (no means for regional policy)
• Competition v cohesion sustainability no 01
  solutions but compromise solutions
• Phasing approach promise of future paradise in
  exchange for current sufferings ? gt spatial
  inertia
• Combine policy for growth poles with policy for
  capacity for diffusion gt dont fight it, cope
  with it
• Dont exaggerate influence of planners scenarios
  should deliver ideas on most important future
  trends for regional development

3
Demography

• Consequences of ageing on territorial
  development
• Ageing maybe not a problem territorial diversity
• Restructuring of economic production processes
• Some national/regional social systems
  overburdened higher level redistribution
• Levers for altering natural population trends
• Job security and child care
• Financial and housing security
• But scepticism about real possibilities
• Immigration as lever
• Cultural stability as important as stable
  population
• Immigration might artificially support obsolete
  structures
• Division between labour and knowledge regions

4
Environment

• Main threats
• Loss of biodiversity, urban sprawl, fragmentation
• Intensification of agriculture (biofuels)
• Climate change water shortage, floods, heat
• 4 areas nordic, coast, mountain, Mediterranean
• New technological developments
• New forms of storage of energy self-sufficiency
• Small scale energy production opportunity for
  rural
• Policies
• Ambiguous role of environment as cross-cutting
  theme
• Implementation, not new policies
• Financial measure to incite new technologies
• Need for more climate change adaptation measures

5
Transport/Energy

• Transport policy impact strongly depends on
  actual realisation of connections
• Distinguish high and low speed transport
• High costs of HST limit subsitution potential vs.
  Airlines
• Depends on energy prices/constraints
• Future urban sprawl balance between energy and
  land prices
• Whole system can strongly be influenced by new
  technologies, railway systems, settlements
  patterns
• Increase of divergence in accessibility high vs
  low speed, high vs low accessibility
• Concentration on certain corridors
• recommendations improve, not increase road
  capacity no excessive privatisation
  differentiate approaches according to local
  conditions