Chris Train Network Operations Director

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Managing the System in 2020

• Chris Train Network Operations Director

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Climate Change Concerns, Drive Targets
2020 Scottish Renewables Target
2020 Green House Gas Target
Renewables slices must add up to 15 by
2020 (EU Directive)
EU and UK emissions targets shape investment
decisions
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The 2020 Energy Mix, Gone Green Scenario

• Extensive closure of aging plant
• Prolific renewable build
• Significant new conventional build
• Demand remains flat

Presents a challenge for the Market and
Transmission System Operator to overcome
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System Operator Challenges in 2020
How do we manage larger losses on the system?
Can the new generation fleet provide the full
range of services?
What operating reserve to hold against a back
drop of variable generation?
Generation
Demand
How to meet these challenges in the most economic
and sustainable way whilst maintaining security
of supply?
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Service Providers Today / Tomorrow
Dynamic Demand
Open Cycle Gas Turbine
Electric Vehicles
Existing Generation
Smart Technologies
Domestic Demand
Interconnectors
Industrial Demand
Storage Devices
Smart Metering and Smart Grids will facilitate
better access to a more diverse range of service
sources
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Balancing Services Development
Current Contracted Balancing Services
2020 Requirements

• Vast increase in requirements driven by changing
  landscape
• Significant shortfall in forecast future
  requirements

There are clear opportunities to provide
balancing services
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Conclusion

• Meeting emissions targets is shaping investment
  decisions
• Unprecedented changes to the generation mix
• Significant challenges to the System Operator
• Smart Technologies will help facilitate solutions
• Balancing Services requirement set to double
• National Grid is exhibiting in the Ballacraine
  Suite, Stand 322

We currently flex Generation to meet Demand, we
now need to also flex Demand to meet Generation