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Analyzing Mountain Corp

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Analyzing Mountain Corp s Financials A Purposefully Superficial Approach – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Analyzing Mountain Corp


1
Analyzing Mountain Corps Financials
  • A Purposefully Superficial Approach

2
Compute a few ratios.
  • Your initial analysis of Mountain Corp. was
    comprised of a few quick ratio calculations, and
    revealed the following.

3
Finding 1
  • The firm has higher ROE than competitors.
    However, it also has higher leverage, as measured
    by the debt-to-asset ratio. The higher leverage
    rather than profitability -- is driving the
    higher ROE.

4
Finding 2
  • Efficiency ratios such as accounts receivable and
    inventory turnovers appear to be near those of
    competitors.
  • Fixed asset levels are also in line, as
    determined by total asset turnover.

5
Finding 3
  • The only evident trends are that the current
    ratio has declined for three years, and now
    stands at 1.25. The times-interest earned has
    also declined, and is now 75 as high as the
    industry average.

6
Heres what you missed
  • A LIFO liquidation was responsible for one-third
    of your profit, and was also the (only) cause of
    inventories being in line.
  • This source of profit is hard to repeat.

7
Missed 2
  • The firm made no contribution to its defined
    benefit pension plan, but it did raise expected
    return on plan assets to 10.5 for the
    foreseeable future.
  • Again, a false sense of profit.

8
Missed 3
  • The firms newest leases have not been
    capitalized, although all earlier leases were.
  • Using operating leases sometimes is a disguise
    for extra debt.

9
Missed 4
  • The firm now assumes that 4 of receivables will
    be uncollectible in the future. In the past the
    uncollectible portion has been 8, and no
    policies have been altered.
  • Which percentage appears realistic?

10
Missed 5
  • The firm lost 500,000 last year on its foreign
    operations, because of currency translations.
    The firm remains unhedged as far as foreign
    currency risk.
  • Whats expected to happen to the U.S. dollar in
    the future?

11
Missed 6
  • Raw materials used in our production processes
    are expected to inflate in price severely over
    the next few years.
  • You might have learned this by reading the
    Management Discussion Analysis (MDA).

12
Missed 7
  • A new competitor is on the scene and Mountain
    Corp is now the high-cost producer (of a somewhat
    homogeneous product).
  • A rosy future? Again, read the MDA.

13
Missed 8
  • The goodwill figure shown on the balance sheet
    has been impaired, according to analystsbut it
    wasnt written down.
  • Just an oversight? Doubtful.

14
Missed 9
  • Diluted EPS are significantly lower than basic
    EPS, due to the existence of unexercised employee
    stock options (that are in the money).
  • Which EPS figures have you been focusing on?

15
Missed 10
  • Earnings quality is considerably lower than
    industry norms (see Appendix 2B for a thorough
    explanation of earnings quality).

16
Summary
  • We may not prevent all future Enrons,
    WorldComs, or Parmalats, but we easily can be
    trained to avoid some of the more common
    manipulations or oversights.
  • Thats our goal during this semester.
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