Anna Soci

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• Anna Soci
• The state of the Project
• overview and assessment
• Riga
• August 29/30, 2007

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We are still under the .

• Objective 1
• Identifying and analysing the main economic
  factors which influence the creation and the
  survival of enterprises in peripheral rural areas
  of Europe, and measuring the degree of their
  influence with appropriate empirical
  methodologies

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TASKS

• The two tasks constituting the portion of the
  Objective 1 to be achieved in the second year
  are
• to terminate the collection of
• information for the CGE and the NEG
• models
• to provide an analysis of the data
• collection results (for both categories of
• models)

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Accomplishment and evaluation

• The first task has been accomplished successfully
  
• Some delay due to the novelty of the approach for
  some partners and to the difficulty to collect
  good data on a small scale implied analogous
  delay in the full achievement of the second task.

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The second task

• The second task is going to be accomplished
• the SAMs were constructed and eventually
  balanced. The calibration process is going to be
  finalized.
• the NEG models started to be implemented with
  real data.
• the evaluation of the results just started
  (Meeting in Riga).

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• The end-product of this second task is to
  evaluate the degree of influence of territorial
  factors on the growth and development of
  enterprises in remote rural areas via the results
  obtained from the CGE and NEG-type models.

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In terms of WPs..

• We finished WP4
• Collection of model information
• We have been through the 9/11th of WP5
• Model calibration, analysis and results

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2 DELIVERABLES (WP4) (on-line)

• Research paper on information collection for
  individual CGE models. It will present the
  procedures followed in each study area for the
  collection of the necessary information for the
  construction of the models.
• Research paper on information collection for
  individual NEG models. It will present the
  procedures followed in each study area for the
  collection of the necessary information for the
  construction of the models.

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4 DELIVERABLES (WP5)(in progress)

• Research paper on application and results of
  individual CGE analyses.
• Comparative research paper on application and
  results of CGE analysis.
• Research paper on application and results of
  individual NEG analyses.
• Comparative research paper on application and
  results of NEG analysis.

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Activities

• Partners participated at International
  Conferences with scholarly audience.
• Some Deliverables are in progress to receive a
  peer review for the publication on academic
  journals.
• Moreover, Partners performed an intense activity
  of diffusion of TERA tasks and work in progress
  in their own countries.

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Participations

• P1
• December 2006, Coordinator participation at the
  Workshop The diversity of rural areas in the
  enlarged EU characterisation, typology and
  modelling jointly organized by JRC, IPTS, DG
  AGRI in Seville (SP).
• January 2007, Coordinator participation at the
  International Conference Human and Social
  Sciences in the 7 FP, organized by the
  University of Bologna in Bologna (I). The
  coordinator was asked to present the TERA Project
  to the audience as the example of a success
  within the 6 FP.
• May 2007, Coordinator and dr. Melloni
  participation at the Workshop La politica
  agricola dellUnione Europea riflessi economici,
  giuridici, estimativi, organized by the Faculty
  of Agrarian Sciences, in Bologna (I).

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• June 2007, Coordinator participation at the
  Conference An Award for Sustainable Development
  in the Province of Ferrara, organized by CCAI in
  Ferrara (I).
• September 2006, Dr. Gruber and Dr. Marattin
  participation at the 8th Annual Conference of
  the European Trade Study Group, Viennna (A). Two
  papers presented.
• August 2006, Dr. Gruber participation at the
  SOEGW Conference in Rimini (I). Two papers
  presented.

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• P4
• December 2006, dr. Psaltopoulos participation at
  the Workshop The diversity of rural areas in the
  enlarged EU characterisation, typology and
  modelling jointly organized by JRC, IPTS, DG
  AGRI in Seville (SP). One paper presented,
  jointly with Prof. Thomson (Aberdeen team).
• P5
• December 2006, dr. Saktina participation at the
  Workshop The diversity of rural areas in the
  enlarged EU characterisation, typology and
  modelling jointly organized by JRC, IPTS, DG
  AGRI in Seville (SP). One paper presented.

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• P6
• September 2006, Ing. Bednarikova participation
  at the International Conference Agrarian
  Perspectives XV, Foreign Trade and Globalization
  Processes, in Prague (CR). One paper presented.
• December 2006, Ing. Bednarikova participation at
  the Workshop The diversity of rural areas in the
  enlarged EU characterisation, typology and
  modelling jointly organized by JRC, IPTS, DG
  AGRI in Seville (SP). One paper presented.
• All the Partners participated in the TERA
  meetings with contributed papers.

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Publications

• P1 submitted three papers to refereed journals
• - S.Gruber and A.Soci, Agglomeration,
  agriculture and the perspectives of the periphery
  (to Spatial Economic Analysis)
• - S. Gruber and L. Marattin, No taxation withouth
  infrastrucure (to Spatial Economic Analysis)
• - S. Gruber, To migrate or to commute? (to
  Journal of Regional Science)

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Relationships

• The exchange of information has been efficient
  and full collaboration among the partners has
  always been present.
• The quality of the internal scientific debate was
  good and stimulating.

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Visits

• Visits to the University of Patras
• Ing. Bednarikova and dr. Saktina visited Patras
  (December 2006) to cooperate with Partner 4 on
  i) the application of the mechanical GRIT-RAS
  technique for the construction of the regional
  tables for the Czech and Latvian study areas ii)
  the analysis of superior data (survey
  questionnaires) iii) the formulation of the
  superior data to be inserted in the SAM tables.
• Prof. Galassi visited Patras (March 2006) to
  cooperate with Partner 4 on i) the construction
  of the Italian mechanical SAM ii) the analysis
  of superior data.
• Ing. Bednarikova visited Patras (June 2007) to
  cooperate with Partner 4 on the multiplier
  analysis, calibration and basic simulations of
  the Czech SAM.

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• Visits to the University of Aberdeen
• dr Balamou visited Aberdeen (January 2007) to
  cooperate with Partner 2 on the application of
  the cross-entropy method for balancing the SAM
  tables and to discuss issues arising in the
  format of the TERA SAMs (to ensure consistency
  between partners).
• Ms Hyytia visited Aberdeen (May 2007) to clarify
  SAM construction issues to provide support for
  finalising and balancing the Finnish SAM and
  calibrating the Finnish CGE model.
• dr Saktina and Ms Hyytia visited Aberdeen (June
  2007) to balance the Latvian SAM to calibrate
  the Finnish CGE models to explain the type of
  multiplier analysis possible with the TERA SAMs
  to explain the types of shocks to be used in the
  CGE model simulations.

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• Visits to Prague (Partner 6)
• Dr. Psaltopoulos visited Prague (September
  2006) to cooperate with Partner 6 on i) the
  specification of the structure of the Czech SAM
  model ii) the application of the GRIT technique
  for the construction of mechanical regional table
  for the Czech study area.

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Dissemination

• Partners performed an intense activity of
  diffusion of TERA tasks and work in progress in
  their own countries (press-releases on regional
  and national newspapers, briefings with local
  authorities, articles on local newspapers,
  interviews on regional radio news, dissemination
  meetings)
• ?
• See PUDK (as a part of PAR)

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• The TERA web-site www.dse.unibo/tera was ready in
  the Fall 2005 and last year Appendix to the
  Periodic Activity Report was describing it in
  details. During the second year the web-site has
  been continuously modified and improved.
• A large data-base was set up by the coordinator
  containing a nominative list of people
  (journalists, politicians, managers) to be
  contacted on the diverse occasions. Press
  release and press conferences were organized for
  each meeting. Printed matters (flyers, brochures,
  covers) and Presentation-supporting tools
  (templates, headed writing-paper) were provided
  to the Consortium for his dissemination activity.

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• Media relations
• a press release has been provided for each
  meeting.
• a press-survey has been obtained from articles
  published during the meetings (many articles
  have been published in local newspapers). The
  press-survey is available on the TERA web site.
• a press conference has been organized where
  possible.
• Printed matters
• Newsletters to promote scientific results and
  dissemination actions have been prepared. Two
  yearly Newsletters are already available on the
  web site.
• Flyers and programs for the meetings have been
  standardized, and the EU, FP6, and TERA logo were
  added everywhere.
• The Project Working Paper series is ready and
  updated.

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MEETINGS

• Two meetings had been organized.
• Archanes (Isle of Crete, Greece) October, 2006
  This fourth meeting was devoted to the
  presentation of the SAMs and the problems related
  to their construction. The meeting had also a
  session of the Governing Body.
• Bologna (Italy) May 25th, 2007. This was
  uniquely a Governing Body meeting whose main
  target was to help partners in managing their
  duties for the second reporting period. In
  addition, the organization of the fifth meeting
  in Riga, of the mid-Project Conference in
  Ferrara, and of the possibility of having the
  final Conference in Gand, were discussed in the
  meeting together with other important issues like
  the intellectual property rights among the
  partners and related problems.

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Overall evaluation

• WP4
• Correspondence between the expected objectives
  and results and the actual objective and
  results
• ?
• ALL THE EXPECTED OBJECTIVES AND RESULTS HAVE BEEN
  REACHED SUCCESSFULLY and ALL THE MILESTONES HAVE
  BEEN REACHED.
• Correspondence between the expected and the
  actual Deliverables
• ?
• THE FINAL DELIVERABLES MIRROR PERFECTLY THE
  EXPECTED DELIVERABLES

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Overall evaluation

• WP5
• Correspondence between the expected objectives
  and results and the actual objective and
  results.
• ?
• No final evaluation is possible since WP5 is
  still in progress. However, a substantial though
  partial assessment of the activities leads
  towards a positive evaluation.

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WP6

• As agreed in the meeting in Archanes, also some
  work in WP6 started to be done. The current
  meeting in Riga would be the place where to get
  an initial assessment of this piece of research
• An alive discussion has ben taking place recently
  about how to proceed for WP5 and some hints for
  WP6 too have been suggested by Partner No 3.

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List of deliverablesAll the due deliverables
have been given and they are available on-line

• WP8 Evaluative Synthesis
• Deliverable No 0 Project Presentation
• WP1 Identification of Study Areas and Regional
  Context Studies
• Deliverable No 1 Methodological paper
• Deliverable No 2 Comparative Analysis

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• WP2 Conceptualisation of Geographical
• and Economic Patterns for the Study
• Deliverable No 3 Agglomeration,
• Agriculture and the Perspective of
• the Periphery
• WP3 Model Design
• Deliverable No 4 CGE Example Model
• Additional Deliverable No 4a) Modelling
• Agriculture, Tourism and Policy in a
• CGE Environment

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• Deliverable No 5 What is NEG? The
• Basic Framework and Two
• Theoretical Extensions for the
• TERA Project
• Additional Deliverable No 5a) No
• Taxation Without Infrastructure
• Additional Deliverable No 5b) To Migrate
• or To Commute?

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• WP4 Collection of Model Information
• Deliverable No 6 Information
• Collection for Individual CGE Model
• Appendix National Reports
• Deliverable No 7 Information
• Collection for Individual NEG Model
• Appendix National Reports

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All the draft papers given during the meetings
are available on-line in the List of Material
for deliverables
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Steps forward ()

• 1. The timing for the Deliverables of WP5
• 2. Time-schedule (and Deliverables)
• for WP5/6/7
• 3. Future meetings
• 4. Conferences
• 5. Publication protocol
• 6. Other issues
• () The steps forward would be discussed in the
  co-ordination meeting.