Dr Peter Boden

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New MigrantsThe impact upon York and North
Yorkshire

• Dr Peter Boden
• February 2007

Email contact_at_edgeanalytics.co.uk Tel 07910
252795
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This presentation

• Context
• Concepts Definitions
• Measurement data availability
• York North Yorkshire
• Estimates forecasts

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Context

• 1966-1978
• UK experienced consistent net emigration
• 1979-1993
• 6 years of net outflow, 9 years of net inflow
• 1994-1998
• Average net in-migration of 78 thousand p.a.
• 1999-2005
• Average net in-migration of 173 thousand p.a.

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Components of UK Population Change
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UK Population Projections
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Context

• Emigration has been dominated by British citizens
• Immigration mainly non-British
• Even during periods of net emigration, ethnic mix
  was changing
• 1981-2001 non-white ethnic groups grew by 96
• 1981-2001 white group remained stationary

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Supply and demand
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New Migrants

• Increasing need to better understand (measure)
  the complex process of international migration.
• European scale
• National level
• Sub-nationally
• Scale, composition, distribution

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Measurement

• There is not a single, all-inclusive system in
  place to measure movements of population into or
  out of the UK.
• ONS, Series MN 2004

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Migration ProcessConcepts Definitions
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Annual Immigration Picture
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Definitions
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Concepts

• Stocks
• Resident migrants
• Flows
• New migrants

• Migrants
• Persons moving at least once during a time-period
• Moves
• Number of moves during a time-period

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TIM National Statistics
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TIM Methodology
Derivation of TIM estimates, 2003
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TIM Flows